Predictions › Germany › SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs TSV Eintracht Braunschweig
2. BundesligaSat 17 Oct, 11:00 Germany time

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs TSV Eintracht Braunschweig prediction

Sportpark Ronhof - Thomas Sommer

SpVgg Greuther FürthHome
1.55 : 1.48
expected goals
TSV Eintracht BraunschweigAway
39%Greuther Furth
25%Draw
36%E Braunschweig
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.27

Quick answer

Our prediction for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs TSV Eintracht Braunschweig is SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27.

Prediction
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win
Chance
39%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1.6, TSV Eintracht Braunschweig 1.5
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.27
Both teams to score
62%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
79% chanceFair price 1.272 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win and Over 2.5
26% chanceFair price 3.881 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives SpVgg Greuther Fürth 39%, the draw 25% and TSV Eintracht Braunschweig 36%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    SpVgg Greuther Fürth took 5 points from their last 5 games and TSV Eintracht Braunschweig took 1 from 5. SpVgg Greuther Fürth come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    SpVgg Greuther Fürth won 4 of their last 11 games at home. TSV Eintracht Braunschweig won 2 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    SpVgg Greuther Fürth score 1.5 goals a game and let in 1.6. TSV Eintracht Braunschweig score 1.4 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of SpVgg Greuther Fürth games and 10 of TSV Eintracht Braunschweig games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, SpVgg Greuther Fürth won 0 and TSV Eintracht Braunschweig won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0, TSV Eintracht Braunschweig 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Greuther Furthrecent form-1%
  • E Braunschweigrecent form-6%
Greuther Furth form D D L W LE Braunschweig form L D L L LHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs TSV Eintracht Braunschweig: SpVgg Greuther Fürth shade it

The big picture

SpVgg Greuther Fürth host TSV Eintracht Braunschweig in the 2. Bundesliga on Sat 17 Oct, 11:00 at Sportpark Ronhof - Thomas Sommer. Our prediction for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs TSV Eintracht Braunschweig is SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth form

SpVgg Greuther Fürth have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, W, L, newest first.

TSV Eintracht Braunschweig form

TSV Eintracht Braunschweig have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. SpVgg Greuther Fürth won 0, TSV Eintracht Braunschweig won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0, TSV Eintracht Braunschweig 0.

Our call

We expect SpVgg Greuther Fürth to score about 1.6 goals and TSV Eintracht Braunschweig about 1.5. That points to SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27. Our bold bet is SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win and Over 2.5 at 3.88.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Greuther FurthE Braunschweig
Games played2020
Wins64
Draws65
Losses811
Goals scored3027
Goals conceded3235
Scored per game1.51.4
Conceded per game1.61.8
Home record4W 3D 4L2W 4D 3L
Away record2W 3D 4L2W 1D 8L
Clean sheets15%10%
Both teams scored70%65%
Over 2.5 goals50%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals81%1.23
Over 2.5 goals58%1.71
Over 3.5 goals36%2.78
Both teams to score62%1.63
SpVgg Greuther Fürth or Draw64%1.56
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig or Draw61%1.63
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win and Over 2.526%3.83
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig to win and Over 2.524%4.16
SpVgg Greuther Fürth clean sheet23%4.40
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig clean sheet21%4.70

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.7%
2-18.6%
1-28.2%
1-06.8%
0-16.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs TSV Eintracht Braunschweig?

Our prediction for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs TSV Eintracht Braunschweig is SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27.

What is the score prediction for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs TSV Eintracht Braunschweig?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect SpVgg Greuther Fürth to score 1.6 goals and TSV Eintracht Braunschweig 1.5.

Will both teams score in SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs TSV Eintracht Braunschweig?

Both teams to score has a 62% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of SpVgg Greuther Fürth last 20 games and 13 of TSV Eintracht Braunschweig last 20.

How are SpVgg Greuther Fürth playing?

SpVgg Greuther Fürth have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, W, L, newest first.

How are TSV Eintracht Braunschweig playing?

TSV Eintracht Braunschweig have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when SpVgg Greuther Fürth and TSV Eintracht Braunschweig last met?

It ended SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0, TSV Eintracht Braunschweig 0. In the last 1 meeting SpVgg Greuther Fürth won 0 and TSV Eintracht Braunschweig won 0.

What is the best bet for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs TSV Eintracht Braunschweig?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.27, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Greuther Furth against E Braunschweig. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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