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Predictions › United Kingdom › St Johnstone vs Dundee
Scottish PremiershipSat 7 Nov, 15:00 United Kingdom time

St Johnstone vs Dundee prediction

McDiarmid Park

St JohnstoneHome
1.56 : 1.04
expected goals
DundeeAway
49%St Johnstone
27%Draw
24%Dundee
Eagle safe pickSt Johnstone or Draw
3/10

Quick answer

Our prediction for St Johnstone vs Dundee is St Johnstone to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is St Johnstone or Draw at 3/10.

Prediction
St Johnstone to win
Chance
49%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
St Johnstone 1.6, Dundee 1.0
Best bet
St Johnstone or Draw at 3/10
Both teams to score
52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

St Johnstone or Draw
76% chanceFair price 3/102 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

St Johnstone to win and Over 2.5
28% chanceFair price 13/51 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives St Johnstone 49%, the draw 27% and Dundee 24%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    St Johnstone took 5 points from their last 5 games and Dundee took 7 from 5. Dundee come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    St Johnstone won 2 of their last 5 games at home. Dundee won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    St Johnstone score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.5. Dundee score 1.4 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of St Johnstone games and 14 of Dundee games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, St Johnstone won 0 and Dundee won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Dundee 1, St Johnstone 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    St Johnstone or Draw has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

St Johnstone form D D W D LDundee form L D W W LHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

St Johnstone vs Dundee: St Johnstone are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

St Johnstone host Dundee in the Scottish Premiership on Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 at McDiarmid Park. Our prediction for St Johnstone vs Dundee is St Johnstone to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is St Johnstone or Draw at 3/10.

St Johnstone form

St Johnstone have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in their last 10 games, with 11 goals scored and 15 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 5. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, D, L, newest first.

Dundee form

Dundee have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. St Johnstone won 0, Dundee won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Dundee 1, St Johnstone 1.

Our call

We expect St Johnstone to score about 1.6 goals and Dundee about 1.0. That points to St Johnstone to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is St Johnstone or Draw at 3/10. Our bold bet is St Johnstone to win and Over 2.5 at 13/5.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

St JohnstoneDundee
Games played1020
Wins38
Draws34
Losses48
Goals scored1129
Goals conceded1528
Scored per game1.11.4
Conceded per game1.51.4
Home record2W 2D 1L6W 3D 2L
Away record1W 1D 3L2W 1D 6L
Clean sheets10%20%
Both teams scored60%65%
Over 2.5 goals40%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals74%4/11
Over 2.5 goals48%11/10
Over 3.5 goals26%11/4
Both teams to score52%10/11
St Johnstone or Draw76%1/3
Dundee or Draw51%Evens
St Johnstone to win and Over 2.529%5/2
Dundee to win and Over 2.513%13/2
St Johnstone clean sheet35%9/5
Dundee clean sheet21%4/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.8%
1-010.9%
2-19.4%
2-09.1%
0-08.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win St Johnstone vs Dundee?

Our prediction for St Johnstone vs Dundee is St Johnstone to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is St Johnstone or Draw at 3/10.

What is the score prediction for St Johnstone vs Dundee?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect St Johnstone to score 1.6 goals and Dundee 1.0.

Will both teams score in St Johnstone vs Dundee?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 6 of St Johnstone last 10 games and 13 of Dundee last 20.

How are St Johnstone playing?

St Johnstone have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in their last 10 games, with 11 goals scored and 15 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 5. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, D, L, newest first.

How are Dundee playing?

Dundee have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when St Johnstone and Dundee last met?

It ended Dundee 1, St Johnstone 1. In the last 1 meeting St Johnstone won 0 and Dundee won 0.

What is the best bet for St Johnstone vs Dundee?

St Johnstone or Draw at 3/10, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in St Johnstone against Dundee. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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