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Predictions › United Kingdom › St Johnstone vs Dundee United
Scottish PremiershipSat 17 Oct, 15:00 United Kingdom time

St Johnstone vs Dundee United prediction

McDiarmid Park

St JohnstoneHome
1.86 : 1.47
expected goals
Dundee UnitedAway
46%St Johnstone
24%Draw
30%Dundee Utd
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
2/9

Quick answer

Our prediction for St Johnstone vs Dundee United is St Johnstone to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/9.

Prediction
St Johnstone to win
Chance
46%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
St Johnstone 1.9, Dundee United 1.5
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 2/9
Both teams to score
66%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
83% chanceFair price 2/92 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

St Johnstone to win and Over 2.5
33% chanceFair price 2/11 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives St Johnstone 46%, the draw 24% and Dundee United 30%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    St Johnstone took 5 points from their last 5 games and Dundee United took 7 from 5. Dundee United come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    St Johnstone won 2 of their last 4 games at home. Dundee United won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    St Johnstone score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.4. Dundee United score 1.3 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of St Johnstone games and 10 of Dundee United games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • St Johnstonerecent form-1%
St Johnstone form D L W D LDundee Utd form W D L W LHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

St Johnstone vs Dundee United: St Johnstone are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

St Johnstone host Dundee United in the Scottish Premiership on Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 at McDiarmid Park. Our prediction for St Johnstone vs Dundee United is St Johnstone to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/9.

St Johnstone form

St Johnstone have 2 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 7 games, with 9 goals scored and 10 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 4. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, D, L, newest first.

Dundee United form

Dundee United have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect St Johnstone to score about 1.9 goals and Dundee United about 1.5. That points to St Johnstone to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/9. Our bold bet is St Johnstone to win and Over 2.5 at 2/1.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

St JohnstoneDundee Utd
Games played720
Wins26
Draws27
Losses37
Goals scored925
Goals conceded1029
Scored per game1.31.3
Conceded per game1.41.4
Home record2W 1D 1L4W 5D 1L
Away record0W 1D 2L2W 2D 6L
Clean sheets0%30%
Both teams scored71%40%
Over 2.5 goals43%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals85%1/6
Over 2.5 goals65%8/15
Over 3.5 goals43%11/8
Both teams to score66%8/15
St Johnstone or Draw70%4/9
Dundee United or Draw54%5/6
St Johnstone to win and Over 2.534%15/8
Dundee United to win and Over 2.522%7/2
St Johnstone clean sheet23%10/3
Dundee United clean sheet16%11/2

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.3%
2-19.1%
1-27.2%
2-26.7%
2-06.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win St Johnstone vs Dundee United?

Our prediction for St Johnstone vs Dundee United is St Johnstone to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/9.

What is the score prediction for St Johnstone vs Dundee United?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect St Johnstone to score 1.9 goals and Dundee United 1.5.

Will both teams score in St Johnstone vs Dundee United?

Both teams to score has a 66% chance. Both sides scored in 5 of St Johnstone last 7 games and 8 of Dundee United last 20.

How are St Johnstone playing?

St Johnstone have 2 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 7 games, with 9 goals scored and 10 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 4. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, D, L, newest first.

How are Dundee United playing?

Dundee United have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for St Johnstone vs Dundee United?

Over 1.5 goals at 2/9, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in St Johnstone against Dundee Utd. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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