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Predictions › United States › St. Louis Blues vs Chicago Blackhawks
NHLTue 6 Oct, 20:00 United States time

St. Louis Blues vs Chicago Blackhawks prediction

United Center

St. Louis BluesAway
2.8 : 2.7
projected goals
Chicago BlackhawksHome
55%Blues
45%Blackhawks
Eagle safe pickBlackhawks +1.5
-258

Quick answer

Our prediction for St. Louis Blues vs Chicago Blackhawks is St. Louis Blues to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project St. Louis Blues 2.8 and Chicago Blackhawks 2.7. Our best bet is Blackhawks +1.5 at -258.

Prediction
St. Louis Blues to win
Chance
55%
Projected score
St. Louis Blues 3, Chicago Blackhawks 3
Projected total
5.5 goals
Best bet
Blackhawks +1.5 at -258

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Blackhawks +1.5
74% chancePrice -258+2.1% value1 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Chicago Blackhawks 45% and St. Louis Blues 55%. The bookmakers agree and make St. Louis Blues the favourite at -115.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Chicago Blackhawks won 3 of their last 5 and St. Louis Blues won 2 of their last 5. Chicago Blackhawks come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Chicago Blackhawks won 3 of their last 10 games at home. St. Louis Blues won 5 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Chicago Blackhawks score 2.4 goals a game and let in 3.5. St. Louis Blues score 3.0 and let in 2.3. Their recent games average 5.9 and 5.3 goals in total, and the market line is 5.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Chicago Blackhawks won 2 and St. Louis Blues won 3. The last one ended Chicago Blackhawks 3, St. Louis Blues 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Blackhawks +1.5 has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Blackhawksrest between games-5%
  • Bluesrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

St. Louis Blues vs Chicago Blackhawks: St. Louis Blues shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Chicago Blackhawks host St. Louis Blues in the NHL on Tue 6 Oct, 20:00 at United Center. Our prediction for St. Louis Blues vs Chicago Blackhawks is St. Louis Blues to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project St. Louis Blues 2.8 and Chicago Blackhawks 2.7. Our best bet is Blackhawks +1.5 at -258.

Chicago Blackhawks form

Chicago Blackhawks have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 47 goals scored and 71 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

St. Louis Blues form

St. Louis Blues have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 61 goals scored and 46 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Chicago Blackhawks won 2, St. Louis Blues won 3. Last time out it finished Chicago Blackhawks 3, St. Louis Blues 2.

Our call

We expect St. Louis Blues to score about 2.8 goals and Chicago Blackhawks about 2.7. That points to St. Louis Blues to win. Our safest bet is Blackhawks +1.5 at -258.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BlackhawksBlues
Games played2020
Wins611
Losses149
Goals scored4761
Goals conceded7146
Scored per game2.43.0
Conceded per game3.52.3
Home record3W 7L6W 3L
Away record3W 7L5W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Blackhawks to win45%+121-105-11.8%
Blues to win49%+106-115-9.2%
Blackhawks +1.574%-278-258+2.1%
Blues -1.528%+261+210-14.2%
Over 5.5 goals47%+111+100-5.4%
Under 5.5 goals46%+115-120-14.9%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Blackhawks spreadCoversFair
Blackhawks -0.539%+155
Blackhawks +0.556%-125
Blackhawks +1.571%-247
Total goalsOverUnder
4.567%33%
5.550%50%
6.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Blackhawks +3.5 wins if Blackhawks win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win St. Louis Blues vs Chicago Blackhawks?

Our prediction for St. Louis Blues vs Chicago Blackhawks is St. Louis Blues to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project St. Louis Blues 2.8 and Chicago Blackhawks 2.7. Our best bet is Blackhawks +1.5 at -258.

What is the projected score for St. Louis Blues vs Chicago Blackhawks?

We project St. Louis Blues 2.8 and Chicago Blackhawks 2.7, about 5.5 goals in total.

How are Chicago Blackhawks playing?

Chicago Blackhawks have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 47 goals scored and 71 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

How are St. Louis Blues playing?

St. Louis Blues have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 61 goals scored and 46 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Chicago Blackhawks and St. Louis Blues last met?

It ended Chicago Blackhawks 3, St. Louis Blues 2. In the last 5 meetings Chicago Blackhawks won 2 and St. Louis Blues won 3.

What is the best bet for St. Louis Blues vs Chicago Blackhawks?

Blackhawks +1.5 at -258, with a 74% chance. That price pays about 2.1% more than our fair price.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Blackhawks against Blues. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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