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Predictions › United States › St. Louis Blues vs Colorado Avalanche
NHLSat 3 Oct, 21:00 United States time

St. Louis Blues vs Colorado Avalanche prediction

Ball Arena

St. Louis BluesAway
2.4 : 3.6
projected goals
Colorado AvalancheHome
27%Blues
73%Avalanche
Eagle safe pickOver 4 goals
-442

Quick answer

Our prediction for St. Louis Blues vs Colorado Avalanche is Colorado Avalanche to win, with a 73% chance. We project St. Louis Blues 2.4 and Colorado Avalanche 3.6. Our best bet is Over 4 goals at -442.

Prediction
Colorado Avalanche to win
Chance
73%
Projected score
St. Louis Blues 2, Colorado Avalanche 4
Projected total
6.0 goals
Best bet
Over 4 goals at -442

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 4 goals
82% chanceFair price -4422 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Blues to win
28% chanceFair price +2591 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Colorado Avalanche 73% and St. Louis Blues 27%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Colorado Avalanche won 2 of their last 5 and St. Louis Blues won 2 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Colorado Avalanche won 8 of their last 10 games at home. St. Louis Blues won 5 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Colorado Avalanche score 3.0 goals a game and let in 2.4. St. Louis Blues score 3.0 and let in 2.3. Their recent games average 5.4 and 5.3 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Colorado Avalanche won 2 and St. Louis Blues won 1. The last one ended St. Louis Blues 1, Colorado Avalanche 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 4 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Avalancherest between games-5%
  • Bluesrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

St. Louis Blues vs Colorado Avalanche: Colorado Avalanche are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Colorado Avalanche host St. Louis Blues in the NHL on Sat 3 Oct, 21:00 at Ball Arena. Our prediction for St. Louis Blues vs Colorado Avalanche is Colorado Avalanche to win, with a 73% chance. We project St. Louis Blues 2.4 and Colorado Avalanche 3.6. Our best bet is Over 4 goals at -442.

Colorado Avalanche form

Colorado Avalanche have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 61 goals scored and 47 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

St. Louis Blues form

St. Louis Blues have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 61 goals scored and 46 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Colorado Avalanche won 2, St. Louis Blues won 1. Last time out it finished St. Louis Blues 1, Colorado Avalanche 3.

Our call

We expect St. Louis Blues to score about 2.4 goals and Colorado Avalanche about 3.6. That points to Colorado Avalanche to win. Our safest bet is Over 4 goals at -442. Our bold bet is Blues to win at +259.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

AvalancheBlues
Games played2020
Wins1311
Losses79
Goals scored6161
Goals conceded4746
Scored per game3.03.0
Conceded per game2.42.3
Home record8W 2L6W 3L
Away record5W 5L5W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Avalanche spreadCoversFair
Avalanche -2.529%+251
Avalanche -1.544%+127
Avalanche -0.560%-153
Total goalsOverUnder
4.574%26%
5.558%42%
6.541%59%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Avalanche +3.5 wins if Avalanche win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win St. Louis Blues vs Colorado Avalanche?

Our prediction for St. Louis Blues vs Colorado Avalanche is Colorado Avalanche to win, with a 73% chance. We project St. Louis Blues 2.4 and Colorado Avalanche 3.6. Our best bet is Over 4 goals at -442.

What is the projected score for St. Louis Blues vs Colorado Avalanche?

We project St. Louis Blues 2.4 and Colorado Avalanche 3.6, about 6.0 goals in total.

How are Colorado Avalanche playing?

Colorado Avalanche have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 61 goals scored and 47 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

How are St. Louis Blues playing?

St. Louis Blues have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 61 goals scored and 46 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Colorado Avalanche and St. Louis Blues last met?

It ended St. Louis Blues 1, Colorado Avalanche 3. In the last 3 meetings Colorado Avalanche won 2 and St. Louis Blues won 1.

What is the best bet for St. Louis Blues vs Colorado Avalanche?

Over 4 goals at -442, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Avalanche against Blues. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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