Predictions › United States › St. Louis Blues vs Pittsburgh Penguins
NHLThu 19 Nov, 19:00 United States time

St. Louis Blues vs Pittsburgh Penguins prediction

PPG Paints Arena

St. Louis BluesAway
3.2 : 3.4
projected goals
Pittsburgh PenguinsHome
49%Blues
51%Penguins
Eagle safe pickBlues +2
-388

Quick answer

Our prediction for St. Louis Blues vs Pittsburgh Penguins is Pittsburgh Penguins to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project St. Louis Blues 3.2 and Pittsburgh Penguins 3.4. Our best bet is Blues +2 at -388.

Prediction
Pittsburgh Penguins to win
Chance
51%
Projected score
St. Louis Blues 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 3
Projected total
6.6 goals
Best bet
Blues +2 at -388

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Blues +2
79% chanceFair price -3882 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Blues to win
43% chanceFair price +1351 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Pittsburgh Penguins 51% and St. Louis Blues 49%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Pittsburgh Penguins won 1 of their last 5 and St. Louis Blues won 2 of their last 5. St. Louis Blues come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Pittsburgh Penguins won 4 of their last 8 games at home. St. Louis Blues won 3 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Pittsburgh Penguins score 3.0 goals a game and let in 3.5. St. Louis Blues score 2.7 and let in 2.9. Their recent games average 6.5 and 5.6 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Pittsburgh Penguins won 1 and St. Louis Blues won 1. The last one ended St. Louis Blues 7, Pittsburgh Penguins 5.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Blues +2 has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Penguinsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

St. Louis Blues vs Pittsburgh Penguins: Pittsburgh Penguins shade it

The big picture

Pittsburgh Penguins host St. Louis Blues in the NHL on Thu 19 Nov, 19:00 at PPG Paints Arena. Our prediction for St. Louis Blues vs Pittsburgh Penguins is Pittsburgh Penguins to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project St. Louis Blues 3.2 and Pittsburgh Penguins 3.4. Our best bet is Blues +2 at -388.

Pittsburgh Penguins form

Pittsburgh Penguins have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 61 goals scored and 70 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

St. Louis Blues form

St. Louis Blues have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 54 goals scored and 58 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 9 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Pittsburgh Penguins won 1, St. Louis Blues won 1. Last time out it finished St. Louis Blues 7, Pittsburgh Penguins 5.

Our call

We expect St. Louis Blues to score about 3.2 goals and Pittsburgh Penguins about 3.4. That points to Pittsburgh Penguins to win. Our safest bet is Blues +2 at -388. Our bold bet is Blues to win at +135.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PenguinsBlues
Games played2020
Wins78
Losses1312
Goals scored6154
Goals conceded7058
Scored per game3.02.7
Conceded per game3.52.9
Home record4W 4L5W 3L
Away record3W 9L3W 9L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Penguins spreadCoversFair
Penguins -1.530%+228
Penguins -0.546%+116
Penguins +0.563%-168
Total goalsOverUnder
5.568%32%
6.552%48%
7.535%65%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Penguins +3.5 wins if Penguins win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win St. Louis Blues vs Pittsburgh Penguins?

Our prediction for St. Louis Blues vs Pittsburgh Penguins is Pittsburgh Penguins to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project St. Louis Blues 3.2 and Pittsburgh Penguins 3.4. Our best bet is Blues +2 at -388.

What is the projected score for St. Louis Blues vs Pittsburgh Penguins?

We project St. Louis Blues 3.2 and Pittsburgh Penguins 3.4, about 6.6 goals in total.

How are Pittsburgh Penguins playing?

Pittsburgh Penguins have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 61 goals scored and 70 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

How are St. Louis Blues playing?

St. Louis Blues have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 54 goals scored and 58 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 9 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Pittsburgh Penguins and St. Louis Blues last met?

It ended St. Louis Blues 7, Pittsburgh Penguins 5. In the last 2 meetings Pittsburgh Penguins won 1 and St. Louis Blues won 1.

What is the best bet for St. Louis Blues vs Pittsburgh Penguins?

Blues +2 at -388, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Penguins against Blues. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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