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Predictions › United States › St. Louis CITY SC vs LA Galaxy
MLSSun 11 Oct, 19:00 United States time

St. Louis CITY SC vs LA Galaxy prediction

Energizer Park

St. Louis CITY SCHome
2.13 : 1.34
expected goals
LA GalaxyAway
55%St. Louis
22%Draw
23%LA Galaxy
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
-538

Quick answer

Our prediction for St. Louis CITY SC vs LA Galaxy is St. Louis CITY SC to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -538.

Prediction
St. Louis CITY SC to win
Chance
55%
Most likely score
2-1
Expected goals
St. Louis CITY SC 2.1, LA Galaxy 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at -538
Both teams to score
66%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
84% chanceFair price -5382 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

St. Louis CITY SC to win and Over 2.5
39% chanceFair price +1541 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives St. Louis CITY SC 55%, the draw 22% and LA Galaxy 23%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    St. Louis CITY SC took 13 points from their last 5 games and LA Galaxy took 10 from 5. St. Louis CITY SC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    St. Louis CITY SC won 7 of their last 10 games at home. LA Galaxy won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    St. Louis CITY SC score 2.1 goals a game and let in 1.4. LA Galaxy score 1.3 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of St. Louis CITY SC games and 12 of LA Galaxy games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, St. Louis CITY SC won 1 and LA Galaxy won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended LA Galaxy 1, St. Louis CITY SC 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • St. Louisrecent form+6%
  • LA Galaxyrecent form+3%
  • St. Louisrest between games-5%
St. Louis form W W W W DLA Galaxy form W W D L WHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

St. Louis CITY SC vs LA Galaxy: St. Louis CITY SC are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

St. Louis CITY SC host LA Galaxy in the MLS on Sun 11 Oct, 19:00 at Energizer Park. Our prediction for St. Louis CITY SC vs LA Galaxy is St. Louis CITY SC to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -538.

St. Louis CITY SC form

St. Louis CITY SC have 12 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 42 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, W, newest first.

LA Galaxy form

LA Galaxy have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. St. Louis CITY SC won 1, LA Galaxy won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished LA Galaxy 1, St. Louis CITY SC 3.

Our call

We expect St. Louis CITY SC to score about 2.1 goals and LA Galaxy about 1.3. That points to St. Louis CITY SC to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at -538. Our bold bet is St. Louis CITY SC to win and Over 2.5 at +154.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

St. LouisLA Galaxy
Games played2020
Wins127
Draws56
Losses37
Goals scored4225
Goals conceded2731
Scored per game2.11.3
Conceded per game1.41.6
Home record7W 2D 1L4W 4D 2L
Away record5W 3D 2L3W 2D 5L
Clean sheets20%15%
Both teams scored75%70%
Over 2.5 goals70%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals87%-650
Over 2.5 goals67%-207
Over 3.5 goals46%+118
Both teams to score66%-191
St. Louis CITY SC or Draw77%-332
LA Galaxy or Draw45%+122
St. Louis CITY SC to win and Over 2.542%+139
LA Galaxy to win and Over 2.517%+497
St. Louis CITY SC clean sheet26%+282
LA Galaxy clean sheet12%+744

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-19.5%
1-19.4%
2-07.1%
3-16.7%
2-26.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win St. Louis CITY SC vs LA Galaxy?

Our prediction for St. Louis CITY SC vs LA Galaxy is St. Louis CITY SC to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -538.

What is the score prediction for St. Louis CITY SC vs LA Galaxy?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 2-0. We expect St. Louis CITY SC to score 2.1 goals and LA Galaxy 1.3.

Will both teams score in St. Louis CITY SC vs LA Galaxy?

Both teams to score has a 66% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of St. Louis CITY SC last 20 games and 14 of LA Galaxy last 20.

How are St. Louis CITY SC playing?

St. Louis CITY SC have 12 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 42 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, W, newest first.

How are LA Galaxy playing?

LA Galaxy have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, L, W, newest first.

What happened when St. Louis CITY SC and LA Galaxy last met?

It ended LA Galaxy 1, St. Louis CITY SC 3. In the last 1 meeting St. Louis CITY SC won 1 and LA Galaxy won 0.

What is the best bet for St. Louis CITY SC vs LA Galaxy?

Over 1.5 goals at -538, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in St. Louis against LA Galaxy. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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