Predictions › United States › St. Louis CITY SC vs Portland Timbers

MLSWed 28 Oct, 20:30 United States time

St. Louis CITY SC vs Portland Timbers prediction

Energizer Park

St. Louis CITY SCHome

2.47 : 1.10

expected goals

Portland TimbersAway

67%St. Louis

18%Draw

15%Portland

Eagle safe pickSt. Louis CITY SC or Draw

-565

Quick answer

Our prediction for St. Louis CITY SC vs Portland Timbers is St. Louis CITY SC to win, with a 67% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is St. Louis CITY SC or Draw at -565.

Prediction: St. Louis CITY SC to win
Chance: 67%
Most likely score: 2-1
Expected goals: St. Louis CITY SC 2.5, Portland Timbers 1.1
Best bet: St. Louis CITY SC or Draw at -565
Both teams to score: 61%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

St. Louis CITY SC or Draw

85% chanceFair price -5652 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

St. Louis CITY SC to win and both score

37% chanceFair price +1671 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives St. Louis CITY SC 67%, the draw 18% and Portland Timbers 15%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
St. Louis CITY SC took 10 points from their last 5 games and Portland Timbers took 2 from 5. St. Louis CITY SC come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
St. Louis CITY SC won 8 of their last 11 games at home. Portland Timbers won 1 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
St. Louis CITY SC score 2.4 goals a game and let in 1.1. Portland Timbers score 1.9 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of St. Louis CITY SC games and 15 of Portland Timbers games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, St. Louis CITY SC won 0 and Portland Timbers won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Portland Timbers 2, St. Louis CITY SC 2.
6
The safest bet
St. Louis CITY SC or Draw has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

St. Louisrecent form+4%
Portlandrecent form-4%
St. Louisrest between games-5%
Portlandrest between games-5%

St. Louis form D D W W WPortland form D L D L LHome edge in this league 26% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

St. Louis CITY SC vs Portland Timbers: St. Louis CITY SC are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

St. Louis CITY SC host Portland Timbers in the MLS on Wed 28 Oct, 20:30 at Energizer Park. Our prediction for St. Louis CITY SC vs Portland Timbers is St. Louis CITY SC to win, with a 67% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is St. Louis CITY SC or Draw at -565.

St. Louis CITY SC form

St. Louis CITY SC have 13 wins, 6 draws and 1 loss in their last 20 games, with 47 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, W, W, newest first.

Portland Timbers form

Portland Timbers have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. St. Louis CITY SC won 0, Portland Timbers won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Portland Timbers 2, St. Louis CITY SC 2.

Our call

We expect St. Louis CITY SC to score about 2.5 goals and Portland Timbers about 1.1. That points to St. Louis CITY SC to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is St. Louis CITY SC or Draw at -565. Our bold bet is St. Louis CITY SC to win and both score at +167.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	St. Louis	Portland
Games played	20	20
Wins	13	6
Draws	6	6
Losses	1	8
Goals scored	47	38
Goals conceded	23	35
Scored per game	2.4	1.9
Conceded per game	1.1	1.8
Home record	8W 3D 0L	5W 3D 3L
Away record	5W 3D 1L	1W 3D 5L
Clean sheets	25%	10%
Both teams scored	75%	75%
Over 2.5 goals	70%	75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	88%	-706
Over 2.5 goals	69%	-225
Over 3.5 goals	48%	+109
Both teams to score	61%	-159
St. Louis CITY SC or Draw	85%	-586
Portland Timbers or Draw	33%	+203
St. Louis CITY SC to win and Over 2.5	52%	-108
Portland Timbers to win and Over 2.5	10%	+875
St. Louis CITY SC clean sheet	33%	+200
Portland Timbers clean sheet	8%	+1087

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-19.4%

2-08.6%

1-18.1%

3-17.8%

3-07.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win St. Louis CITY SC vs Portland Timbers?

Our prediction for St. Louis CITY SC vs Portland Timbers is St. Louis CITY SC to win, with a 67% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is St. Louis CITY SC or Draw at -565.

What is the score prediction for St. Louis CITY SC vs Portland Timbers?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 1-1. We expect St. Louis CITY SC to score 2.5 goals and Portland Timbers 1.1.

Will both teams score in St. Louis CITY SC vs Portland Timbers?

Both teams to score has a 61% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of St. Louis CITY SC last 20 games and 15 of Portland Timbers last 20.

How are St. Louis CITY SC playing?

How are Portland Timbers playing?

What happened when St. Louis CITY SC and Portland Timbers last met?

It ended Portland Timbers 2, St. Louis CITY SC 2. In the last 1 meeting St. Louis CITY SC won 0 and Portland Timbers won 0.

What is the best bet for St. Louis CITY SC vs Portland Timbers?

St. Louis CITY SC or Draw at -565, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in St. Louis against Portland. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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