Predictions › United States › St. Louis CITY SC vs San Diego FC
MLSSat 31 Oct, 15:00 United States time

St. Louis CITY SC vs San Diego FC prediction

Energizer Park

St. Louis CITY SCHome
2.43 : 1.26
expected goals
San Diego FCAway
63%St. Louis
19%Draw
18%San Diego
Eagle safe pickSt. Louis CITY SC or Draw
-441

Quick answer

Our prediction for St. Louis CITY SC vs San Diego FC is St. Louis CITY SC to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is St. Louis CITY SC or Draw at -441.

Prediction
St. Louis CITY SC to win
Chance
63%
Most likely score
2-1
Expected goals
St. Louis CITY SC 2.4, San Diego FC 1.3
Best bet
St. Louis CITY SC or Draw at -441
Both teams to score
66%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

St. Louis CITY SC or Draw
81% chanceFair price -4412 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

St. Louis CITY SC to win and both score
37% chanceFair price +1681 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives St. Louis CITY SC 63%, the draw 19% and San Diego FC 18%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    St. Louis CITY SC took 10 points from their last 5 games and San Diego FC took 4 from 5. St. Louis CITY SC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    St. Louis CITY SC won 8 of their last 11 games at home. San Diego FC won 1 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    St. Louis CITY SC score 2.4 goals a game and let in 1.1. San Diego FC score 1.8 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of St. Louis CITY SC games and 14 of San Diego FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, St. Louis CITY SC won 0 and San Diego FC won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended San Diego FC 2, St. Louis CITY SC 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    St. Louis CITY SC or Draw has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • St. Louisrecent form+4%
  • San Diegorecent form-1%
St. Louis form D D W W WSan Diego form D D L D DHome edge in this league 26% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

St. Louis CITY SC vs San Diego FC: St. Louis CITY SC are favourites

The big picture

St. Louis CITY SC host San Diego FC in the MLS on Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 at Energizer Park. Our prediction for St. Louis CITY SC vs San Diego FC is St. Louis CITY SC to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is St. Louis CITY SC or Draw at -441.

St. Louis CITY SC form

St. Louis CITY SC have 13 wins, 6 draws and 1 loss in their last 20 games, with 47 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, W, W, newest first.

San Diego FC form

San Diego FC have 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 39 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. St. Louis CITY SC won 0, San Diego FC won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished San Diego FC 2, St. Louis CITY SC 0.

Our call

We expect St. Louis CITY SC to score about 2.4 goals and San Diego FC about 1.3. That points to St. Louis CITY SC to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is St. Louis CITY SC or Draw at -441. Our bold bet is St. Louis CITY SC to win and both score at +168.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

St. LouisSan Diego
Games played2020
Wins135
Draws68
Losses17
Goals scored4736
Goals conceded2339
Scored per game2.41.8
Conceded per game1.11.9
Home record8W 3D 0L4W 3D 3L
Away record5W 3D 1L1W 5D 4L
Clean sheets25%20%
Both teams scored75%65%
Over 2.5 goals70%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals89%-783
Over 2.5 goals71%-247
Over 3.5 goals50%-101
Both teams to score66%-191
St. Louis CITY SC or Draw82%-458
San Diego FC or Draw37%+168
St. Louis CITY SC to win and Over 2.550%+101
San Diego FC to win and Over 2.513%+655
St. Louis CITY SC clean sheet28%+251
San Diego FC clean sheet9%+1031

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-19.3%
1-18.1%
3-17.5%
2-07.4%
3-06.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win St. Louis CITY SC vs San Diego FC?

Our prediction for St. Louis CITY SC vs San Diego FC is St. Louis CITY SC to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is St. Louis CITY SC or Draw at -441.

What is the score prediction for St. Louis CITY SC vs San Diego FC?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 3-1. We expect St. Louis CITY SC to score 2.4 goals and San Diego FC 1.3.

Will both teams score in St. Louis CITY SC vs San Diego FC?

Both teams to score has a 66% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of St. Louis CITY SC last 20 games and 13 of San Diego FC last 20.

How are St. Louis CITY SC playing?

St. Louis CITY SC have 13 wins, 6 draws and 1 loss in their last 20 games, with 47 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, W, W, newest first.

How are San Diego FC playing?

San Diego FC have 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 39 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, D, D, newest first.

What happened when St. Louis CITY SC and San Diego FC last met?

It ended San Diego FC 2, St. Louis CITY SC 0. In the last 1 meeting St. Louis CITY SC won 0 and San Diego FC won 1.

What is the best bet for St. Louis CITY SC vs San Diego FC?

St. Louis CITY SC or Draw at -441, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in St. Louis against San Diego. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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