Predictions › United States › St. Louis CITY SC vs Vancouver Whitecaps

MLSWed 14 Oct, 20:30 United States time

St. Louis CITY SC vs Vancouver Whitecaps prediction

Energizer Park

St. Louis CITY SCHome

1.59 : 1.82

expected goals

Vancouver WhitecapsAway

33%St. Louis

24%Draw

43%Vancouver

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

-505

Quick answer

Our prediction for St. Louis CITY SC vs Vancouver Whitecaps is Vancouver Whitecaps to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -505.

Prediction: Vancouver Whitecaps to win
Chance: 43%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: St. Louis CITY SC 1.6, Vancouver Whitecaps 1.8
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at -505
Both teams to score: 67%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

84% chanceFair price -5052 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Vancouver Whitecaps to win and Over 2.5

31% chanceFair price +2201 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives St. Louis CITY SC 33%, the draw 24% and Vancouver Whitecaps 43%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
St. Louis CITY SC took 13 points from their last 5 games and Vancouver Whitecaps took 7 from 5. St. Louis CITY SC come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
St. Louis CITY SC won 7 of their last 10 games at home. Vancouver Whitecaps won 5 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
St. Louis CITY SC score 2.1 goals a game and let in 1.4. Vancouver Whitecaps score 2.1 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of St. Louis CITY SC games and 12 of Vancouver Whitecaps games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, St. Louis CITY SC won 1 and Vancouver Whitecaps won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Vancouver Whitecaps 1, St. Louis CITY SC 3.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

St. Louisrecent form+6%

St. Louis form W W W W DVancouver form D W L W LHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

St. Louis CITY SC vs Vancouver Whitecaps: Vancouver Whitecaps shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

St. Louis CITY SC host Vancouver Whitecaps in the MLS on Wed 14 Oct, 20:30 at Energizer Park. Our prediction for St. Louis CITY SC vs Vancouver Whitecaps is Vancouver Whitecaps to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -505.

St. Louis CITY SC form

St. Louis CITY SC have 12 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 42 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, W, newest first.

Vancouver Whitecaps form

Vancouver Whitecaps have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 42 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. St. Louis CITY SC won 1, Vancouver Whitecaps won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Vancouver Whitecaps 1, St. Louis CITY SC 3.

Our call

We expect St. Louis CITY SC to score about 1.6 goals and Vancouver Whitecaps about 1.8. That points to Vancouver Whitecaps to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at -505. Our bold bet is Vancouver Whitecaps to win and Over 2.5 at +220.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	St. Louis	Vancouver
Games played	20	20
Wins	12	10
Draws	5	5
Losses	3	5
Goals scored	42	42
Goals conceded	27	22
Scored per game	2.1	2.1
Conceded per game	1.4	1.1
Home record	7W 2D 1L	5W 2D 3L
Away record	5W 3D 2L	5W 3D 2L
Clean sheets	20%	40%
Both teams scored	75%	50%
Over 2.5 goals	70%	60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	86%	-616
Over 2.5 goals	66%	-196
Over 3.5 goals	44%	+125
Both teams to score	67%	-206
St. Louis CITY SC or Draw	57%	-133
Vancouver Whitecaps or Draw	67%	-199
St. Louis CITY SC to win and Over 2.5	25%	+307
Vancouver Whitecaps to win and Over 2.5	32%	+212
St. Louis CITY SC clean sheet	16%	+518
Vancouver Whitecaps clean sheet	20%	+390

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.1%

1-28.7%

2-17.6%

2-26.9%

0-25.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win St. Louis CITY SC vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

What is the score prediction for St. Louis CITY SC vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect St. Louis CITY SC to score 1.6 goals and Vancouver Whitecaps 1.8.

Will both teams score in St. Louis CITY SC vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Both teams to score has a 67% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of St. Louis CITY SC last 20 games and 10 of Vancouver Whitecaps last 20.

How are St. Louis CITY SC playing?

How are Vancouver Whitecaps playing?

What happened when St. Louis CITY SC and Vancouver Whitecaps last met?

It ended Vancouver Whitecaps 1, St. Louis CITY SC 3. In the last 1 meeting St. Louis CITY SC won 1 and Vancouver Whitecaps won 0.

What is the best bet for St. Louis CITY SC vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Over 1.5 goals at -505, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in St. Louis against Vancouver. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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