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Predictions › United Kingdom › St Mirren vs Hibernian
Scottish PremiershipWed 28 Oct, 19:45 United Kingdom time

St Mirren vs Hibernian prediction

The SMISA Stadium

St MirrenHome
0.82 : 1.49
expected goals
HibernianAway
20%St Mirren
28%Draw
52%Hibernian
Eagle safe pickHibernian or Draw
1/4

Quick answer

Our prediction for St Mirren vs Hibernian is Hibernian to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Hibernian or Draw at 1/4.

Prediction
Hibernian to win
Chance
52%
Most likely score
0-1
Expected goals
St Mirren 0.8, Hibernian 1.5
Best bet
Hibernian or Draw at 1/4
Both teams to score
44%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Hibernian or Draw
79% chanceFair price 1/42 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Hibernian to win and Over 2.5
26% chanceFair price 11/41 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives St Mirren 20%, the draw 28% and Hibernian 52%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    St Mirren took 0 points from their last 5 games and Hibernian took 1 from 5. Hibernian come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    St Mirren won 2 of their last 9 games at home. Hibernian won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    St Mirren score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.5. Hibernian score 1.2 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of St Mirren games and 13 of Hibernian games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, St Mirren won 0 and Hibernian won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Hibernian 2, St Mirren 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Hibernian or Draw has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • St Mirrenrecent form-6%
  • Hibernianrecent form-1%
  • St Mirrenrest between games-5%
  • Hibernianrest between games-5%
St Mirren form D L L L LHibernian form D L D L WHome edge in this league 26% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

St Mirren vs Hibernian: Hibernian are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

St Mirren host Hibernian in the Scottish Premiership on Wed 28 Oct, 19:45 at The SMISA Stadium. Our prediction for St Mirren vs Hibernian is Hibernian to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Hibernian or Draw at 1/4.

St Mirren form

St Mirren have 6 wins, 3 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Hibernian form

Hibernian have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. St Mirren won 0, Hibernian won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Hibernian 2, St Mirren 0.

Our call

We expect St Mirren to score about 0.8 goals and Hibernian about 1.5. That points to Hibernian to win, with 0-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Hibernian or Draw at 1/4. Our bold bet is Hibernian to win and Over 2.5 at 11/4.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

St MirrenHibernian
Games played2020
Wins66
Draws34
Losses1110
Goals scored1824
Goals conceded3027
Scored per game0.91.2
Conceded per game1.51.4
Home record2W 2D 5L1W 2D 7L
Away record4W 1D 6L5W 2D 3L
Clean sheets25%15%
Both teams scored35%65%
Over 2.5 goals40%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals68%1/2
Over 2.5 goals41%6/4
Over 3.5 goals20%4/1
Both teams to score44%5/4
St Mirren or Draw48%11/10
Hibernian or Draw80%1/4
St Mirren to win and Over 2.59%10/1
Hibernian to win and Over 2.527%11/4
St Mirren clean sheet23%7/2
Hibernian clean sheet44%5/4

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-114.0%
1-112.9%
0-211.0%
0-010.6%
1-29.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win St Mirren vs Hibernian?

Our prediction for St Mirren vs Hibernian is Hibernian to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Hibernian or Draw at 1/4.

What is the score prediction for St Mirren vs Hibernian?

0-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-2. We expect St Mirren to score 0.8 goals and Hibernian 1.5.

Will both teams score in St Mirren vs Hibernian?

Both teams to score has a 44% chance. Both sides scored in 7 of St Mirren last 20 games and 13 of Hibernian last 20.

How are St Mirren playing?

St Mirren have 6 wins, 3 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Hibernian playing?

Hibernian have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, L, newest first.

What happened when St Mirren and Hibernian last met?

It ended Hibernian 2, St Mirren 0. In the last 2 meetings St Mirren won 0 and Hibernian won 2.

What is the best bet for St Mirren vs Hibernian?

Hibernian or Draw at 1/4, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in St Mirren against Hibernian. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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