Predictions › France › Stade de Reims vs Montpellier

Ligue 2Fri 18 Sept, 18:00 France time

Stade de Reims vs Montpellier prediction

Stade Auguste Delaune

Stade de ReimsHome

1.58 : 1.06

expected goals

MontpellierAway

49%Reims

27%Draw

25%Montpellier

Eagle safe pickStade de Reims or Draw

1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for Stade de Reims vs Montpellier is Stade de Reims to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Stade de Reims or Draw at 1.30.

Prediction: Stade de Reims to win
Chance: 49%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Stade de Reims 1.6, Montpellier 1.1
Best bet: Stade de Reims or Draw at 1.30
Both teams to score: 53%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Stade de Reims or Draw

77% chanceFair price 1.302 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Stade de Reims to win and Over 2.5

28% chanceFair price 3.641 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Stade de Reims 49%, the draw 27% and Montpellier 25%. The bookmakers agree and make Stade de Reims the favourite at 1.74.
2
Recent form
Stade de Reims took 11 points from their last 5 games and Montpellier took 10 from 5. Stade de Reims come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Stade de Reims won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Montpellier won 4 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Stade de Reims score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.0. Montpellier score 1.3 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Stade de Reims games and 7 of Montpellier games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Stade de Reims won 1 and Montpellier won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Montpellier 0, Stade de Reims 0.
6
The safest bet
Stade de Reims or Draw has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Reimsrecent form+4%
Montpellierrecent form+3%
Reimsrest between games-5%
Montpellierrest between games-5%

Reims form W D W W DMontpellier form W L D W WHome edge in this league 11% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Stade de Reims vs Montpellier: Stade de Reims are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Stade de Reims host Montpellier in the Ligue 2 on Fri 18 Sept, 18:00 at Stade Auguste Delaune. Our prediction for Stade de Reims vs Montpellier is Stade de Reims to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Stade de Reims or Draw at 1.30.

Stade de Reims form

Stade de Reims have 7 wins, 12 draws and 1 loss in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 6 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, D, newest first.

Montpellier form

Montpellier have 9 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Stade de Reims won 1, Montpellier won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Montpellier 0, Stade de Reims 0.

Our call

We expect Stade de Reims to score about 1.6 goals and Montpellier about 1.1. That points to Stade de Reims to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Stade de Reims or Draw at 1.30. Our bold bet is Stade de Reims to win and Over 2.5 at 3.64.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Reims	Montpellier
Games played	20	20
Wins	7	9
Draws	12	7
Losses	1	4
Goals scored	31	25
Goals conceded	20	15
Scored per game	1.6	1.3
Conceded per game	1.0	0.8
Home record	3W 6D 1L	5W 4D 1L
Away record	4W 6D 0L	4W 3D 3L
Clean sheets	40%	50%
Both teams scored	60%	40%
Over 2.5 goals	45%	35%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Stade de Reims to win	47%	2.13	1.74	-18.2%
A Draw	25%	3.99	3.80	-4.8%
Montpellier to win	23%	4.27	4.10	-4.0%
Over 2.5 goals	52%	1.91	1.67	-12.7%
Under 2.5 goals	45%	2.21	2.00	-9.7%
Stade de Reims -0.5	51%	1.95	1.69	-13.3%
Montpellier +0.5	46%	2.17	1.95	-9.9%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	75%	1.34
Over 2.5 goals	49%	2.03
Over 3.5 goals	27%	3.67
Both teams to score	53%	1.90
Stade de Reims or Draw	75%	1.33
Montpellier or Draw	51%	1.94
Stade de Reims to win and Over 2.5	29%	3.43
Montpellier to win and Over 2.5	14%	7.16
Stade de Reims clean sheet	35%	2.89
Montpellier clean sheet	21%	4.84

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.7%

1-010.5%

2-19.4%

2-08.9%

0-07.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Stade de Reims vs Montpellier?

Our prediction for Stade de Reims vs Montpellier is Stade de Reims to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Stade de Reims or Draw at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Stade de Reims vs Montpellier?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Stade de Reims to score 1.6 goals and Montpellier 1.1.

Will both teams score in Stade de Reims vs Montpellier?

Both teams to score has a 53% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Stade de Reims last 20 games and 8 of Montpellier last 20.

How are Stade de Reims playing?

How are Montpellier playing?

What happened when Stade de Reims and Montpellier last met?

It ended Montpellier 0, Stade de Reims 0. In the last 2 meetings Stade de Reims won 1 and Montpellier won 0.

What is the best bet for Stade de Reims vs Montpellier?

Stade de Reims or Draw at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Reims against Montpellier. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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