Predictions › France › Stade de Reims vs Saint-Étienne

Ligue 2Sat 21 Nov, 19:00 France time

Stade de Reims vs Saint-Étienne prediction

Stade Auguste Delaune

Stade de ReimsHome

1.39 : 1.46

expected goals

Saint-ÉtienneAway

35%Reims

26%Draw

38%St. Étienne

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.28

Quick answer

Our prediction for Stade de Reims vs Saint-Étienne is Saint-Étienne to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

Prediction: Saint-Étienne to win
Chance: 38%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Stade de Reims 1.4, Saint-Étienne 1.5
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.28
Both teams to score: 58%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

78% chanceFair price 1.282 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Stade de Reims to win

35% chancePrice 3.25+12.4% value2 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Stade de Reims 35%, the draw 26% and Saint-Étienne 38%. The bookmakers agree and make Saint-Étienne the favourite at 2.10.
2
Recent form
Stade de Reims took 8 points from their last 5 games and Saint-Étienne took 12 from 5. Saint-Étienne come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Stade de Reims won 5 of their last 11 games at home. Saint-Étienne won 3 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Stade de Reims score 1.9 goals a game and let in 1.3. Saint-Étienne score 1.9 and let in 1.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Stade de Reims games and 13 of Saint-Étienne games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Stade de Reims won 1 and Saint-Étienne won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Stade de Reims 1, Saint-Étienne 0.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Reimsrecent form+3%
St. Étiennerecent form+4%

Reims form D W D W DSt. Étienne form W L W W WHome edge in this league 10% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Stade de Reims vs Saint-Étienne: Saint-Étienne shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Stade de Reims host Saint-Étienne in the Ligue 2 on Sat 21 Nov, 19:00 at Stade Auguste Delaune. Our prediction for Stade de Reims vs Saint-Étienne is Saint-Étienne to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

Stade de Reims form

Stade de Reims have 8 wins, 10 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, D, newest first.

Saint-Étienne form

Saint-Étienne have 12 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Stade de Reims won 1, Saint-Étienne won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Stade de Reims 1, Saint-Étienne 0.

Our call

We expect Stade de Reims to score about 1.4 goals and Saint-Étienne about 1.5. That points to Saint-Étienne to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28. Our bold bet is Stade de Reims to win at 3.25.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Reims	St. Étienne
Games played	20	20
Wins	8	12
Draws	10	3
Losses	2	5
Goals scored	39	38
Goals conceded	26	20
Scored per game	1.9	1.9
Conceded per game	1.3	1.0
Home record	5W 5D 1L	9W 0D 1L
Away record	3W 5D 1L	3W 3D 4L
Clean sheets	25%	45%
Both teams scored	75%	40%
Over 2.5 goals	55%	65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Stade de Reims to win	35%	2.89	3.25	+12.4%
A Draw	26%	3.87	3.35	-13.4%
Saint-Étienne to win	37%	2.68	2.10	-21.6%
Over 2.5 goals	49%	2.05	1.74	-15.2%
Under 2.5 goals	44%	2.25	1.91	-15.3%
Stade de Reims +0.5	51%	1.94	1.67	-14.2%
Saint-Étienne -0.5	42%	2.41	2.00	-16.9%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	79%	1.27
Over 2.5 goals	54%	1.84
Over 3.5 goals	32%	3.12
Both teams to score	58%	1.71
Stade de Reims or Draw	62%	1.62
Saint-Étienne or Draw	65%	1.55
Stade de Reims to win and Over 2.5	22%	4.47
Saint-Étienne to win and Over 2.5	24%	4.09
Stade de Reims clean sheet	23%	4.31
Saint-Étienne clean sheet	25%	4.03

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.4%

1-28.6%

2-18.2%

0-17.7%

1-07.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Stade de Reims vs Saint-Étienne?

Our prediction for Stade de Reims vs Saint-Étienne is Saint-Étienne to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

What is the score prediction for Stade de Reims vs Saint-Étienne?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Stade de Reims to score 1.4 goals and Saint-Étienne 1.5.

Will both teams score in Stade de Reims vs Saint-Étienne?

Both teams to score has a 58% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of Stade de Reims last 20 games and 8 of Saint-Étienne last 20.

How are Stade de Reims playing?

How are Saint-Étienne playing?

What happened when Stade de Reims and Saint-Étienne last met?

It ended Stade de Reims 1, Saint-Étienne 0. In the last 2 meetings Stade de Reims won 1 and Saint-Étienne won 1.

What is the best bet for Stade de Reims vs Saint-Étienne?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.28, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Reims against St. Étienne. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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