Predictions › France › Stade Laval vs Montpellier

Ligue 2Sat 21 Nov, 13:00 France time

Stade Laval vs Montpellier prediction

Stade Francis Le Basser

Stade LavalHome

1.08 : 1.56

expected goals

MontpellierAway

26%Stade Laval

27%Draw

48%Montpellier

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.32

Quick answer

Our prediction for Stade Laval vs Montpellier is Montpellier to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32.

Prediction: Montpellier to win
Chance: 48%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Stade Laval 1.1, Montpellier 1.6
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.32
Both teams to score: 53%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

75% chanceFair price 1.322 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Montpellier to win and Over 2.5

28% chanceFair price 3.561 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Stade Laval 26%, the draw 27% and Montpellier 48%. The bookmakers agree and make Montpellier the favourite at 2.15.
2
Recent form
Stade Laval took 4 points from their last 5 games and Montpellier took 12 from 5. Montpellier come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Stade Laval won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Montpellier won 5 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Stade Laval score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.7. Montpellier score 1.4 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Stade Laval games and 8 of Montpellier games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Stade Laval won 0 and Montpellier won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Montpellier 2, Stade Laval 0.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Stade Lavalrecent form-3%
Montpellierrecent form+4%

Stade Laval form L W L D LMontpellier form L W W W WHome edge in this league 10% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Stade Laval vs Montpellier: Montpellier are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Stade Laval host Montpellier in the Ligue 2 on Sat 21 Nov, 13:00 at Stade Francis Le Basser. Our prediction for Stade Laval vs Montpellier is Montpellier to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32.

Stade Laval form

Stade Laval have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, D, L, newest first.

Montpellier form

Montpellier have 10 wins, 7 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Stade Laval won 0, Montpellier won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Montpellier 2, Stade Laval 0.

Our call

We expect Stade Laval to score about 1.1 goals and Montpellier about 1.6. That points to Montpellier to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32. Our bold bet is Montpellier to win and Over 2.5 at 3.56.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Stade Laval	Montpellier
Games played	20	20
Wins	5	10
Draws	6	7
Losses	9	3
Goals scored	23	28
Goals conceded	34	15
Scored per game	1.1	1.4
Conceded per game	1.7	0.8
Home record	4W 4D 2L	5W 3D 2L
Away record	1W 2D 7L	5W 4D 1L
Clean sheets	20%	55%
Both teams scored	55%	45%
Over 2.5 goals	55%	40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Stade Laval to win	25%	4.00	3.00	-25.0%
A Draw	26%	3.81	3.55	-6.9%
Montpellier to win	45%	2.23	2.15	-3.7%
Over 2.5 goals	48%	2.08	1.71	-17.8%
Under 2.5 goals	45%	2.22	1.95	-12.0%
Stade Laval +0.5	50%	2.00	1.63	-18.7%
Montpellier -0.5	43%	2.33	2.05	-11.9%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	75%	1.34
Over 2.5 goals	49%	2.04
Over 3.5 goals	27%	3.69
Both teams to score	53%	1.90
Stade Laval or Draw	52%	1.91
Montpellier or Draw	74%	1.34
Stade Laval to win and Over 2.5	14%	6.95
Montpellier to win and Over 2.5	29%	3.51
Stade Laval clean sheet	21%	4.74
Montpellier clean sheet	34%	2.94

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.8%

0-110.5%

1-29.4%

0-28.7%

0-07.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Stade Laval vs Montpellier?

Our prediction for Stade Laval vs Montpellier is Montpellier to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32.

What is the score prediction for Stade Laval vs Montpellier?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-2. We expect Stade Laval to score 1.1 goals and Montpellier 1.6.

Will both teams score in Stade Laval vs Montpellier?

Both teams to score has a 53% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Stade Laval last 20 games and 9 of Montpellier last 20.

How are Stade Laval playing?

How are Montpellier playing?

What happened when Stade Laval and Montpellier last met?

It ended Montpellier 2, Stade Laval 0. In the last 2 meetings Stade Laval won 0 and Montpellier won 2.

What is the best bet for Stade Laval vs Montpellier?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.32, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Stade Laval against Montpellier. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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