PredictionsFranceStade Laval vs Sochaux
Ligue 2Fri 18 Sept, 18:00 France time

Stade Laval vs Sochaux prediction

Stade Francis Le Basser

Stade LavalHome
0.84 : 1.09
expected goals
SochauxAway
27%Stade Laval
33%Draw
40%Sochaux
Eagle safe pickSochaux or Draw
1.35

Quick answer

Our prediction for Stade Laval vs Sochaux is Sochaux to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Sochaux or Draw at 1.35.

Prediction
Sochaux to win
Chance
40%
Most likely score
0-0
Expected goals
Stade Laval 0.8, Sochaux 1.1
Best bet
Sochaux or Draw at 1.35
Both teams to score
39%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Sochaux or Draw
74% chanceFair price 1.351 unit

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 0-0
15% chanceFair price 6.551 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Stade Laval 27%, the draw 33% and Sochaux 40%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Stade Laval took 4 points from their last 5 games and Sochaux took 9 from 5. Sochaux come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Stade Laval won 3 of their last 11 games at home. Sochaux won 0 of their last 3 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Stade Laval score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.6. Sochaux score 0.5 and let in 0.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Stade Laval games and 1 of Sochaux games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Sochaux or Draw has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Stade Lavalrecent form-3%
  • Sochauxrecent form+3%
  • Stade Lavalrest between games-5%
  • Sochauxrest between games-5%
Stade Laval form L L L D WSochaux form W D D W DHome edge in this league 11% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Stade Laval vs Sochaux: Sochaux shade it

The big picture

Stade Laval host Sochaux in the Ligue 2 on Fri 18 Sept, 18:00 at Stade Francis Le Basser. Our prediction for Stade Laval vs Sochaux is Sochaux to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Sochaux or Draw at 1.35.

Stade Laval form

Stade Laval have 4 wins, 8 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, W, newest first.

Sochaux form

Sochaux have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 games, with 3 goals scored and 4 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from 3. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, W, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Stade Laval to score about 0.8 goals and Sochaux about 1.1. That points to Sochaux to win, with 0-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Sochaux or Draw at 1.35. Our bold bet is Correct score 0-0 at 6.55.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Stade LavalSochaux
Games played206
Wins42
Draws83
Losses81
Goals scored233
Goals conceded334
Scored per game1.10.5
Conceded per game1.60.7
Home record3W 5D 3L2W 0D 1L
Away record1W 3D 5L0W 3D 0L
Clean sheets15%67%
Both teams scored65%17%
Over 2.5 goals60%17%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals58%1.71
Over 2.5 goals31%3.27
Over 3.5 goals13%7.62
Both teams to score39%2.59
Stade Laval or Draw60%1.67
Sochaux or Draw73%1.37
Stade Laval to win and Over 2.511%9.45
Sochaux to win and Over 2.517%6.04
Stade Laval clean sheet34%2.97
Sochaux clean sheet43%2.33

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-015.3%
0-114.9%
1-114.1%
1-011.4%
0-28.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Stade Laval vs Sochaux?

Our prediction for Stade Laval vs Sochaux is Sochaux to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Sochaux or Draw at 1.35.

What is the score prediction for Stade Laval vs Sochaux?

0-0 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-1. We expect Stade Laval to score 0.8 goals and Sochaux 1.1.

Will both teams score in Stade Laval vs Sochaux?

Both teams to score has a 39% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Stade Laval last 20 games and 1 of Sochaux last 6.

How are Stade Laval playing?

Stade Laval have 4 wins, 8 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, W, newest first.

How are Sochaux playing?

Sochaux have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 games, with 3 goals scored and 4 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from 3. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, W, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Stade Laval vs Sochaux?

Sochaux or Draw at 1.35, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Stade Laval against Sochaux. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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