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Predictions › Europa League › Stade Rennais vs OFI Crete
Europa LeagueThu 15 Oct, 19:00 UTC

Stade Rennais vs OFI Crete prediction

Roazhon Park

Stade RennaisHome
2.20 : 0.90
expected goals
OFI CreteAway
66%Rennes
20%Draw
14%OFI Crete
Eagle safe pickStade Rennais or Draw
1.19

Quick answer

Our prediction for Stade Rennais vs OFI Crete is Stade Rennais to win, with a 66% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Stade Rennais or Draw at 1.19.

Prediction
Stade Rennais to win
Chance
66%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
Stade Rennais 2.2, OFI Crete 0.9
Best bet
Stade Rennais or Draw at 1.19
Both teams to score
53%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Stade Rennais or Draw
84% chanceFair price 1.192 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Stade Rennais to win and Over 2.5
43% chanceFair price 2.311 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Stade Rennais 66%, the draw 20% and OFI Crete 14%. The bookmakers agree and make Stade Rennais the favourite at 1.33.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Stade Rennais took 10 points from their last 5 games and OFI Crete took 10 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Stade Rennais won 7 of their last 10 games at home. OFI Crete won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Stade Rennais score 1.9 goals a game and let in 1.4. OFI Crete score 1.6 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 16 of Stade Rennais games and 10 of OFI Crete games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Stade Rennais or Draw has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Rennesrecent form+3%
  • OFI Creterecent form+3%
Rennes form L D W W WOFI Crete form D W W W LHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Stade Rennais vs OFI Crete: Stade Rennais are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Stade Rennais host OFI Crete in the Europa League on Thu 15 Oct, 19:00 at Roazhon Park. Our prediction for Stade Rennais vs OFI Crete is Stade Rennais to win, with a 66% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Stade Rennais or Draw at 1.19.

Stade Rennais form

Stade Rennais have 12 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, W, W, newest first.

OFI Crete form

OFI Crete have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Stade Rennais to score about 2.2 goals and OFI Crete about 0.9. That points to Stade Rennais to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Stade Rennais or Draw at 1.19. Our bold bet is Stade Rennais to win and Over 2.5 at 2.31.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

RennesOFI Crete
Games played2020
Wins129
Draws34
Losses57
Goals scored3731
Goals conceded2828
Scored per game1.91.6
Conceded per game1.41.4
Home record7W 2D 1L7W 1D 3L
Away record5W 1D 4L2W 3D 4L
Clean sheets35%35%
Both teams scored60%50%
Over 2.5 goals80%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Stade Rennais to win67%1.481.33-10.2%
A Draw20%5.075.25+3.6%
OFI Crete to win13%7.598.00+5.4%
Over 2.5 goals57%1.741.56-10.5%
Under 2.5 goals38%2.662.35-11.8%
Stade Rennais -1.545%2.241.83-18.2%
OFI Crete +1.550%2.011.77-11.8%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals82%1.22
Over 2.5 goals60%1.67
Over 3.5 goals37%2.67
Both teams to score53%1.87
Stade Rennais or Draw86%1.16
OFI Crete or Draw34%2.97
Stade Rennais to win and Over 2.546%2.17
OFI Crete to win and Over 2.58%12.10
Stade Rennais clean sheet41%2.46
OFI Crete clean sheet11%8.99

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-010.9%
2-19.8%
1-19.5%
1-09.4%
3-08.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Stade Rennais vs OFI Crete?

Our prediction for Stade Rennais vs OFI Crete is Stade Rennais to win, with a 66% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Stade Rennais or Draw at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for Stade Rennais vs OFI Crete?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-1. We expect Stade Rennais to score 2.2 goals and OFI Crete 0.9.

Will both teams score in Stade Rennais vs OFI Crete?

Both teams to score has a 53% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Stade Rennais last 20 games and 10 of OFI Crete last 20.

How are Stade Rennais playing?

Stade Rennais have 12 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, W, W, newest first.

How are OFI Crete playing?

OFI Crete have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Stade Rennais vs OFI Crete?

Stade Rennais or Draw at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Rennes against OFI Crete. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
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