Predictions › France › Stade Rennais vs Strasbourg
Ligue 1Sun 25 Oct, 16:15 France time

Stade Rennais vs Strasbourg prediction

Roazhon Park

Stade RennaisHome
2.18 : 1.51
expected goals
StrasbourgAway
53%Rennes
22%Draw
26%Strasbourg
Eagle safe pickStade Rennais or Draw
1.34

Quick answer

Our prediction for Stade Rennais vs Strasbourg is Stade Rennais to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Stade Rennais or Draw at 1.34.

Prediction
Stade Rennais to win
Chance
53%
Most likely score
2-1
Expected goals
Stade Rennais 2.2, Strasbourg 1.5
Best bet
Stade Rennais or Draw at 1.34
Both teams to score
70%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Stade Rennais or Draw
75% chanceFair price 1.341 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Stade Rennais to win and Over 2.5
42% chanceFair price 2.371 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Stade Rennais 53%, the draw 22% and Strasbourg 26%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Stade Rennais took 10 points from their last 5 games and Strasbourg took 7 from 5. Stade Rennais come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Stade Rennais won 8 of their last 11 games at home. Strasbourg won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Stade Rennais score 1.9 goals a game and let in 1.3. Strasbourg score 1.7 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 16 of Stade Rennais games and 13 of Strasbourg games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Stade Rennais won 2 and Strasbourg won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Strasbourg 0, Stade Rennais 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Stade Rennais or Draw has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Rennesrecent form+1%
  • Strasbourgrecent form+1%
Rennes form D W L D WStrasbourg form D L D W WHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Stade Rennais vs Strasbourg: Stade Rennais are favourites

The big picture

Stade Rennais host Strasbourg in the Ligue 1 on Sun 25 Oct, 16:15 at Roazhon Park. Our prediction for Stade Rennais vs Strasbourg is Stade Rennais to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Stade Rennais or Draw at 1.34.

Stade Rennais form

Stade Rennais have 13 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, D, W, newest first.

Strasbourg form

Strasbourg have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Stade Rennais won 2, Strasbourg won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Strasbourg 0, Stade Rennais 3.

Our call

We expect Stade Rennais to score about 2.2 goals and Strasbourg about 1.5. That points to Stade Rennais to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Stade Rennais or Draw at 1.34. Our bold bet is Stade Rennais to win and Over 2.5 at 2.37.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

RennesStrasbourg
Games played2020
Wins138
Draws34
Losses48
Goals scored3934
Goals conceded2633
Scored per game1.91.7
Conceded per game1.31.6
Home record8W 2D 1L4W 3D 3L
Away record5W 1D 3L4W 1D 5L
Clean sheets35%10%
Both teams scored60%65%
Over 2.5 goals80%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals89%1.13
Over 2.5 goals71%1.40
Over 3.5 goals50%1.99
Both teams to score70%1.44
Stade Rennais or Draw74%1.35
Strasbourg or Draw47%2.11
Stade Rennais to win and Over 2.542%2.40
Strasbourg to win and Over 2.520%5.04
Stade Rennais clean sheet22%4.52
Strasbourg clean sheet11%8.85

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-19.0%
1-18.7%
2-26.8%
3-16.5%
1-26.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Stade Rennais vs Strasbourg?

Our prediction for Stade Rennais vs Strasbourg is Stade Rennais to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Stade Rennais or Draw at 1.34.

What is the score prediction for Stade Rennais vs Strasbourg?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 2-2. We expect Stade Rennais to score 2.2 goals and Strasbourg 1.5.

Will both teams score in Stade Rennais vs Strasbourg?

Both teams to score has a 70% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Stade Rennais last 20 games and 13 of Strasbourg last 20.

How are Stade Rennais playing?

Stade Rennais have 13 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, D, W, newest first.

How are Strasbourg playing?

Strasbourg have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Stade Rennais and Strasbourg last met?

It ended Strasbourg 0, Stade Rennais 3. In the last 2 meetings Stade Rennais won 2 and Strasbourg won 0.

What is the best bet for Stade Rennais vs Strasbourg?

Stade Rennais or Draw at 1.34, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Rennes against Strasbourg. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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