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Predictions › Belgium › Standard Liege vs KV Kortrijk
Belgian Pro LeagueSat 31 Oct, 17:15 Belgium time

Standard Liege vs KV Kortrijk prediction

Stade Maurice Dufrasne

Standard LiegeHome
1.48 : 0.59
expected goals
KV KortrijkAway
58%Standard Liege
28%Draw
14%KV Kortrijk
Eagle safe pickStandard Liege or Draw
1.17

Quick answer

Our prediction for Standard Liege vs KV Kortrijk is Standard Liege to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Standard Liege or Draw at 1.17.

Prediction
Standard Liege to win
Chance
58%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Standard Liege 1.5, KV Kortrijk 0.6
Best bet
Standard Liege or Draw at 1.17
Both teams to score
35%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Standard Liege or Draw
85% chanceFair price 1.172 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Standard Liege to win and Over 2.5
25% chanceFair price 3.961 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Standard Liege 58%, the draw 28% and KV Kortrijk 14%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Standard Liege took 6 points from their last 5 games and KV Kortrijk took 3 from 5. Standard Liege come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Standard Liege won 3 of their last 10 games at home. KV Kortrijk won 0 of their last 4 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Standard Liege score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.3. KV Kortrijk score 0.3 and let in 2.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Standard Liege games and 5 of KV Kortrijk games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Standard Liege or Draw has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • KV Kortrijkrecent form-3%
Standard Liege form D L L W WKV Kortrijk form D W L L LHome edge in this league 16% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Standard Liege vs KV Kortrijk: Standard Liege are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Standard Liege host KV Kortrijk in the Belgian Pro League on Sat 31 Oct, 17:15 at Stade Maurice Dufrasne. Our prediction for Standard Liege vs KV Kortrijk is Standard Liege to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Standard Liege or Draw at 1.17.

Standard Liege form

Standard Liege have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

KV Kortrijk form

KV Kortrijk have 1 win, 0 draws and 7 losses in their last 8 games, with 2 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Standard Liege to score about 1.5 goals and KV Kortrijk about 0.6. That points to Standard Liege to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Standard Liege or Draw at 1.17. Our bold bet is Standard Liege to win and Over 2.5 at 3.96.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Standard LiegeKV Kortrijk
Games played208
Wins81
Draws60
Losses67
Goals scored312
Goals conceded2518
Scored per game1.60.3
Conceded per game1.32.3
Home record3W 3D 4L1W 0D 3L
Away record5W 3D 2L0W 0D 4L
Clean sheets25%13%
Both teams scored65%13%
Over 2.5 goals60%63%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals62%1.62
Over 2.5 goals34%2.94
Over 3.5 goals15%6.48
Both teams to score35%2.87
Standard Liege or Draw86%1.16
KV Kortrijk or Draw42%2.40
Standard Liege to win and Over 2.526%3.79
KV Kortrijk to win and Over 2.55%19.86
Standard Liege clean sheet56%1.80
KV Kortrijk clean sheet23%4.38

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-018.1%
2-013.9%
0-013.4%
1-111.7%
2-18.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Standard Liege vs KV Kortrijk?

Our prediction for Standard Liege vs KV Kortrijk is Standard Liege to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Standard Liege or Draw at 1.17.

What is the score prediction for Standard Liege vs KV Kortrijk?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 0-0. We expect Standard Liege to score 1.5 goals and KV Kortrijk 0.6.

Will both teams score in Standard Liege vs KV Kortrijk?

Both teams to score has a 35% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Standard Liege last 20 games and 1 of KV Kortrijk last 8.

How are Standard Liege playing?

Standard Liege have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

How are KV Kortrijk playing?

KV Kortrijk have 1 win, 0 draws and 7 losses in their last 8 games, with 2 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Standard Liege vs KV Kortrijk?

Standard Liege or Draw at 1.17, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Standard Liege against KV Kortrijk. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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