EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › Belgium › Standard Liege vs Royal Charleroi SC
Belgian Pro LeagueSun 11 Oct, 11:30 Belgium time

Standard Liege vs Royal Charleroi SC prediction

Stade Maurice Dufrasne

Standard LiegeHome
1.12 : 1.36
expected goals
Royal Charleroi SCAway
30%Standard Liege
28%Draw
41%Royal Charleroi
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.32

Quick answer

Our prediction for Standard Liege vs Royal Charleroi SC is Royal Charleroi SC to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32.

Prediction
Royal Charleroi SC to win
Chance
41%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Standard Liege 1.1, Royal Charleroi SC 1.4
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.32
Both teams to score
51%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1.322 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.401 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Standard Liege 30%, the draw 28% and Royal Charleroi SC 41%. The bookmakers agree and make Royal Charleroi SC the favourite at 2.35.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Standard Liege took 9 points from their last 5 games and Royal Charleroi SC took 12 from 5. Royal Charleroi SC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Standard Liege won 3 of their last 9 games at home. Royal Charleroi SC won 6 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Standard Liege score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.2. Royal Charleroi SC score 1.4 and let in 1.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Standard Liege games and 7 of Royal Charleroi SC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Standard Liege won 2 and Royal Charleroi SC won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Standard Liege 0, Royal Charleroi SC 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Standard Liegerecent form+1%
  • Royal Charleroirecent form+4%
Standard Liege form L L W W WRoyal Charleroi form W W L W WHome edge in this league 17% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Standard Liege vs Royal Charleroi SC: Royal Charleroi SC shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Standard Liege host Royal Charleroi SC in the Belgian Pro League on Sun 11 Oct, 11:30 at Stade Maurice Dufrasne. Our prediction for Standard Liege vs Royal Charleroi SC is Royal Charleroi SC to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32.

Standard Liege form

Standard Liege have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Royal Charleroi SC form

Royal Charleroi SC have 11 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Standard Liege won 2, Royal Charleroi SC won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Standard Liege 0, Royal Charleroi SC 2.

Our call

We expect Standard Liege to score about 1.1 goals and Royal Charleroi SC about 1.4. That points to Royal Charleroi SC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.40.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Standard LiegeRoyal Charleroi
Games played2020
Wins911
Draws63
Losses56
Goals scored3229
Goals conceded2420
Scored per game1.61.4
Conceded per game1.21.0
Home record3W 3D 3L5W 1D 4L
Away record6W 3D 2L6W 2D 2L
Clean sheets30%35%
Both teams scored65%45%
Over 2.5 goals60%35%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Standard Liege to win29%3.422.80-18.0%
A Draw28%3.623.35-7.4%
Royal Charleroi SC to win39%2.572.35-8.5%
Over 2.5 goals47%2.131.77-16.9%
Under 2.5 goals47%2.121.91-10.0%
Standard Liege +0.556%1.791.53-14.7%
Royal Charleroi SC -0.538%2.622.25-14.0%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals72%1.39
Over 2.5 goals45%2.21
Over 3.5 goals24%4.18
Both teams to score51%1.96
Standard Liege or Draw59%1.71
Royal Charleroi SC or Draw70%1.43
Standard Liege to win and Over 2.516%6.15
Royal Charleroi SC to win and Over 2.523%4.31
Standard Liege clean sheet26%3.90
Royal Charleroi SC clean sheet33%3.08

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.5%
0-110.6%
0-09.1%
1-28.7%
1-08.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Standard Liege vs Royal Charleroi SC?

Our prediction for Standard Liege vs Royal Charleroi SC is Royal Charleroi SC to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32.

What is the score prediction for Standard Liege vs Royal Charleroi SC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-0. We expect Standard Liege to score 1.1 goals and Royal Charleroi SC 1.4.

Will both teams score in Standard Liege vs Royal Charleroi SC?

Both teams to score has a 51% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Standard Liege last 20 games and 9 of Royal Charleroi SC last 20.

How are Standard Liege playing?

Standard Liege have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Royal Charleroi SC playing?

Royal Charleroi SC have 11 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Standard Liege and Royal Charleroi SC last met?

It ended Standard Liege 0, Royal Charleroi SC 2. In the last 4 meetings Standard Liege won 2 and Royal Charleroi SC won 2.

What is the best bet for Standard Liege vs Royal Charleroi SC?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.32, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Standard Liege against Royal Charleroi. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.