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Predictions › Belgium › Standard Liege vs Waasland-Beveren
Belgian Pro LeagueFri 6 Nov, 19:45 Belgium time

Standard Liege vs Waasland-Beveren prediction

Stade Maurice Dufrasne

Standard LiegeHome
1.57 : 1.06
expected goals
Waasland-BeverenAway
48%Standard Liege
27%Draw
25%Waasland-Beveren
Eagle safe pickStandard Liege or Draw
1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for Standard Liege vs Waasland-Beveren is Standard Liege to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Standard Liege or Draw at 1.31.

Prediction
Standard Liege to win
Chance
48%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Standard Liege 1.6, Waasland-Beveren 1.1
Best bet
Standard Liege or Draw at 1.31
Both teams to score
53%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Standard Liege or Draw
76% chanceFair price 1.312 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Standard Liege to win and Over 2.5
28% chanceFair price 3.571 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Standard Liege 48%, the draw 27% and Waasland-Beveren 25%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Standard Liege took 3 points from their last 5 games and Waasland-Beveren took 7 from 5. Waasland-Beveren come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Standard Liege won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Waasland-Beveren won 0 of their last 5 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Standard Liege score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.3. Waasland-Beveren score 1.3 and let in 2.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Standard Liege games and 6 of Waasland-Beveren games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Standard Liege or Draw has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Standard Liegerecent form-3%
  • Standard Liegerest between games-2%
Standard Liege form D L L L WWaasland-Beveren form D L L W WHome edge in this league 18% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Standard Liege vs Waasland-Beveren: Standard Liege are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Standard Liege host Waasland-Beveren in the Belgian Pro League on Fri 6 Nov, 19:45 at Stade Maurice Dufrasne. Our prediction for Standard Liege vs Waasland-Beveren is Standard Liege to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Standard Liege or Draw at 1.31.

Standard Liege form

Standard Liege have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Waasland-Beveren form

Waasland-Beveren have 3 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses in their last 9 games, with 12 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Standard Liege to score about 1.6 goals and Waasland-Beveren about 1.1. That points to Standard Liege to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Standard Liege or Draw at 1.31. Our bold bet is Standard Liege to win and Over 2.5 at 3.57.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Standard LiegeWaasland-Beveren
Games played209
Wins83
Draws51
Losses75
Goals scored3112
Goals conceded2618
Scored per game1.61.3
Conceded per game1.32.0
Home record3W 3D 4L3W 0D 1L
Away record5W 2D 3L0W 1D 4L
Clean sheets25%33%
Both teams scored65%33%
Over 2.5 goals65%67%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals75%1.34
Over 2.5 goals49%2.04
Over 3.5 goals27%3.68
Both teams to score53%1.90
Standard Liege or Draw75%1.33
Waasland-Beveren or Draw52%1.94
Standard Liege to win and Over 2.529%3.44
Waasland-Beveren to win and Over 2.514%7.15
Standard Liege clean sheet35%2.90
Waasland-Beveren clean sheet21%4.83

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.7%
1-010.5%
2-19.4%
2-08.9%
0-07.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Standard Liege vs Waasland-Beveren?

Our prediction for Standard Liege vs Waasland-Beveren is Standard Liege to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Standard Liege or Draw at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for Standard Liege vs Waasland-Beveren?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Standard Liege to score 1.6 goals and Waasland-Beveren 1.1.

Will both teams score in Standard Liege vs Waasland-Beveren?

Both teams to score has a 53% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Standard Liege last 20 games and 3 of Waasland-Beveren last 9.

How are Standard Liege playing?

Standard Liege have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Waasland-Beveren playing?

Waasland-Beveren have 3 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses in their last 9 games, with 12 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Standard Liege vs Waasland-Beveren?

Standard Liege or Draw at 1.31, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Standard Liege against Waasland-Beveren. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
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