Predictions › South Africa › Stellenbosch vs Chippa United

South African PremiershipSat 31 Oct, 18:00 South Africa time

Stellenbosch vs Chippa United prediction

Danie Craven Stadium

StellenboschHome

1.31 : 0.93

expected goals

Chippa UnitedAway

45%Stellenbosch

30%Draw

26%Chippa Utd

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

1.24

Quick answer

Our prediction for Stellenbosch vs Chippa United is Stellenbosch to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.24.

Prediction: Stellenbosch to win
Chance: 45%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Stellenbosch 1.3, Chippa United 0.9
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1.24
Both teams to score: 45%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

80% chanceFair price 1.242 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1

14% chanceFair price 7.271 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Stellenbosch 45%, the draw 30% and Chippa United 26%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Stellenbosch took 6 points from their last 5 games and Chippa United took 6 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.
3
Home and away
Stellenbosch won 4 of their last 8 games at home. Chippa United won 2 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Stellenbosch score 1.0 goals a game and let in 0.9. Chippa United score 0.8 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of Stellenbosch games and 7 of Chippa United games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Stellenbosch won 1 and Chippa United won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Stellenbosch 2, Chippa United 1.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Chippa Utdrecent form+1%

Stellenbosch form D W D D LChippa Utd form D W D D DHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Stellenbosch vs Chippa United: Stellenbosch shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Stellenbosch host Chippa United in the South African Premiership on Sat 31 Oct, 18:00 at Danie Craven Stadium. Our prediction for Stellenbosch vs Chippa United is Stellenbosch to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.24.

Stellenbosch form

Stellenbosch have 5 wins, 10 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 18 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, D, L, newest first.

Chippa United form

Chippa United have 3 wins, 9 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Stellenbosch won 1, Chippa United won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Stellenbosch 2, Chippa United 1.

Our call

We expect Stellenbosch to score about 1.3 goals and Chippa United about 0.9. That points to Stellenbosch to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.24. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.27.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Stellenbosch	Chippa Utd
Games played	20	20
Wins	5	3
Draws	10	9
Losses	5	8
Goals scored	20	15
Goals conceded	18	30
Scored per game	1.0	0.8
Conceded per game	0.9	1.5
Home record	4W 2D 2L	1W 4D 5L
Away record	1W 8D 3L	2W 5D 3L
Clean sheets	30%	30%
Both teams scored	50%	55%
Over 2.5 goals	25%	35%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	66%	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	39%	2.57
Over 3.5 goals	19%	5.28
Both teams to score	45%	2.22
Stellenbosch or Draw	74%	1.35
Chippa United or Draw	55%	1.80
Stellenbosch to win and Over 2.5	22%	4.48
Chippa United to win and Over 2.5	12%	8.28
Stellenbosch clean sheet	39%	2.54
Chippa United clean sheet	27%	3.71

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.7%

1-013.1%

0-011.4%

0-19.1%

2-09.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Stellenbosch vs Chippa United?

Our prediction for Stellenbosch vs Chippa United is Stellenbosch to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.24.

What is the score prediction for Stellenbosch vs Chippa United?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Stellenbosch to score 1.3 goals and Chippa United 0.9.

Will both teams score in Stellenbosch vs Chippa United?

Both teams to score has a 45% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Stellenbosch last 20 games and 11 of Chippa United last 20.

How are Stellenbosch playing?

How are Chippa United playing?

What happened when Stellenbosch and Chippa United last met?

It ended Stellenbosch 2, Chippa United 1. In the last 2 meetings Stellenbosch won 1 and Chippa United won 0.

What is the best bet for Stellenbosch vs Chippa United?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.24, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Stellenbosch against Chippa Utd. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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