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Predictions › United Kingdom › Stevenage vs Mansfield Town
League OneSat 14 Nov, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Stevenage vs Mansfield Town prediction

Lamex Stadium

StevenageHome
1.03 : 0.87
expected goals
Mansfield TownAway
37%Stevenage
33%Draw
29%Mansfield
Eagle safe pickStevenage or Draw
4/11

Quick answer

Our prediction for Stevenage vs Mansfield Town is Stevenage to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Stevenage or Draw at 4/11.

Prediction
Stevenage to win
Chance
37%
Most likely score
0-0
Expected goals
Stevenage 1.0, Mansfield Town 0.9
Best bet
Stevenage or Draw at 4/11
Both teams to score
38%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Stevenage or Draw
73% chanceFair price 4/111 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 0-0
16% chanceFair price 11/21 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Stevenage 37%, the draw 33% and Mansfield Town 29%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Stevenage took 7 points from their last 5 games and Mansfield Town took 8 from 5. Mansfield Town come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Stevenage won 5 of their last 11 games at home. Mansfield Town won 4 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Stevenage score 1.2 goals a game and let in 1.1. Mansfield Town score 1.6 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Stevenage games and 12 of Mansfield Town games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Stevenage won 0 and Mansfield Town won 0 with 2 draws. The last one ended Stevenage 1, Mansfield Town 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Stevenage or Draw has a 73% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Mansfieldrecent form+1%
  • Mansfieldrest between games-5%
Stevenage form D L W L WMansfield form D L W W DHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Stevenage vs Mansfield Town: Stevenage shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Stevenage host Mansfield Town in the League One on Sat 14 Nov, 15:00 at Lamex Stadium. Our prediction for Stevenage vs Mansfield Town is Stevenage to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Stevenage or Draw at 4/11.

Stevenage form

Stevenage have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Mansfield Town form

Mansfield Town have 8 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Stevenage won 0, Mansfield Town won 0 and 2 games ended level. Last time out it finished Stevenage 1, Mansfield Town 1.

Our call

We expect Stevenage to score about 1.0 goals and Mansfield Town about 0.9. That points to Stevenage to win, with 0-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Stevenage or Draw at 4/11. Our bold bet is Correct score 0-0 at 11/2.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

StevenageMansfield
Games played2020
Wins78
Draws67
Losses75
Goals scored2432
Goals conceded2328
Scored per game1.21.6
Conceded per game1.11.4
Home record5W 2D 4L4W 3D 2L
Away record2W 4D 3L4W 4D 3L
Clean sheets25%30%
Both teams scored45%50%
Over 2.5 goals45%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals57%8/11
Over 2.5 goals30%12/5
Over 3.5 goals13%7/1
Both teams to score38%13/8
Stevenage or Draw71%2/5
Mansfield Town or Draw63%8/13
Stevenage to win and Over 2.515%11/2
Mansfield Town to win and Over 2.511%8/1
Stevenage clean sheet42%7/5
Mansfield Town clean sheet36%9/5

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-015.8%
1-014.5%
1-114.2%
0-112.3%
2-07.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Stevenage vs Mansfield Town?

Our prediction for Stevenage vs Mansfield Town is Stevenage to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Stevenage or Draw at 4/11.

What is the score prediction for Stevenage vs Mansfield Town?

0-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 1-1. We expect Stevenage to score 1.0 goals and Mansfield Town 0.9.

Will both teams score in Stevenage vs Mansfield Town?

Both teams to score has a 38% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Stevenage last 20 games and 10 of Mansfield Town last 20.

How are Stevenage playing?

Stevenage have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Mansfield Town playing?

Mansfield Town have 8 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Stevenage and Mansfield Town last met?

It ended Stevenage 1, Mansfield Town 1. In the last 2 meetings Stevenage won 0 and Mansfield Town won 0.

What is the best bet for Stevenage vs Mansfield Town?

Stevenage or Draw at 4/11, with a 73% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Stevenage against Mansfield. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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