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Predictions › United Kingdom › Stevenage vs Wigan Athletic
League OneSat 10 Oct, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Stevenage vs Wigan Athletic prediction

Lamex Stadium

StevenageHome
1.42 : 0.81
expected goals
Wigan AthleticAway
51%Stevenage
29%Draw
21%Wigan
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1/4

Quick answer

Our prediction for Stevenage vs Wigan Athletic is Stevenage to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/4.

Prediction
Stevenage to win
Chance
51%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Stevenage 1.4, Wigan Athletic 0.8
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1/4
Both teams to score
43%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
79% chanceFair price 1/42 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-0
15% chanceFair price 6/11 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Stevenage 51%, the draw 29% and Wigan Athletic 21%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Stevenage took 8 points from their last 5 games and Wigan Athletic took 4 from 5. Stevenage come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Stevenage won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Wigan Athletic won 1 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Stevenage score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.1. Wigan Athletic score 0.9 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Stevenage games and 8 of Wigan Athletic games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Stevenage won 1 and Wigan Athletic won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Stevenage 1, Wigan Athletic 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Stevenagerecent form+3%
Stevenage form W L W W DWigan form W L D L WHome edge in this league 21% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Stevenage vs Wigan Athletic: Stevenage are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Stevenage host Wigan Athletic in the League One on Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 at Lamex Stadium. Our prediction for Stevenage vs Wigan Athletic is Stevenage to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/4.

Stevenage form

Stevenage have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, D, D, newest first.

Wigan Athletic form

Wigan Athletic have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Stevenage won 1, Wigan Athletic won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Stevenage 1, Wigan Athletic 0.

Our call

We expect Stevenage to score about 1.4 goals and Wigan Athletic about 0.8. That points to Stevenage to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/4. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-0 at 6/1.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

StevenageWigan
Games played2020
Wins86
Draws65
Losses69
Goals scored2219
Goals conceded2324
Scored per game1.10.9
Conceded per game1.11.2
Home record5W 2D 3L5W 1D 5L
Away record3W 4D 3L1W 4D 4L
Clean sheets35%30%
Both teams scored45%30%
Over 2.5 goals40%40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals66%8/15
Over 2.5 goals38%8/5
Over 3.5 goals19%9/2
Both teams to score43%11/8
Stevenage or Draw79%1/4
Wigan Athletic or Draw49%21/20
Stevenage to win and Over 2.525%3/1
Wigan Athletic to win and Over 2.59%10/1
Stevenage clean sheet45%5/4
Wigan Athletic clean sheet24%3/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-014.6%
1-113.1%
0-011.5%
2-010.9%
2-18.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Stevenage vs Wigan Athletic?

Our prediction for Stevenage vs Wigan Athletic is Stevenage to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/4.

What is the score prediction for Stevenage vs Wigan Athletic?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-0. We expect Stevenage to score 1.4 goals and Wigan Athletic 0.8.

Will both teams score in Stevenage vs Wigan Athletic?

Both teams to score has a 43% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Stevenage last 20 games and 6 of Wigan Athletic last 20.

How are Stevenage playing?

Stevenage have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, D, D, newest first.

How are Wigan Athletic playing?

Wigan Athletic have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Stevenage and Wigan Athletic last met?

It ended Stevenage 1, Wigan Athletic 0. In the last 2 meetings Stevenage won 1 and Wigan Athletic won 0.

What is the best bet for Stevenage vs Wigan Athletic?

Under 3.5 goals at 1/4, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Stevenage against Wigan. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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