Predictions › United Kingdom › Stockport County vs AFC Wimbledon
League OneSat 31 Oct, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Stockport County vs AFC Wimbledon prediction

Edgeley Park

Stockport CountyHome
2.52 : 0.85
expected goals
AFC WimbledonAway
73%Stockport
17%Draw
10%Wimbledon
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
2/11

Quick answer

Our prediction for Stockport County vs AFC Wimbledon is Stockport County to win, with a 73% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/11.

Prediction
Stockport County to win
Chance
73%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
Stockport County 2.5, AFC Wimbledon 0.8
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 2/11
Both teams to score
53%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
85% chanceFair price 2/112 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Stockport County to win and both score
34% chanceFair price 2/11 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Stockport County 73%, the draw 17% and AFC Wimbledon 10%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Stockport County took 13 points from their last 5 games and AFC Wimbledon took 2 from 5. Stockport County come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Stockport County won 6 of their last 11 games at home. AFC Wimbledon won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Stockport County score 1.9 goals a game and let in 1.2. AFC Wimbledon score 0.5 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Stockport County games and 9 of AFC Wimbledon games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Stockport County won 2 and AFC Wimbledon won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended AFC Wimbledon 0, Stockport County 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Stockportrecent form+6%
  • Wimbledonrecent form-4%
  • Stockportrest between games-5%
  • Wimbledonrest between games-5%
Stockport form D W W W WWimbledon form D L L L DHome edge in this league 21% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Stockport County vs AFC Wimbledon: Stockport County are favourites

The big picture

Stockport County host AFC Wimbledon in the League One on Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 at Edgeley Park. Our prediction for Stockport County vs AFC Wimbledon is Stockport County to win, with a 73% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/11.

Stockport County form

Stockport County have 11 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, D, newest first.

AFC Wimbledon form

AFC Wimbledon have 4 wins, 4 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 10 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Stockport County won 2, AFC Wimbledon won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished AFC Wimbledon 0, Stockport County 2.

Our call

We expect Stockport County to score about 2.5 goals and AFC Wimbledon about 0.8. That points to Stockport County to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/11. Our bold bet is Stockport County to win and both score at 2/1.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

StockportWimbledon
Games played2020
Wins114
Draws34
Losses612
Goals scored3810
Goals conceded2436
Scored per game1.90.5
Conceded per game1.21.8
Home record6W 1D 4L2W 3D 5L
Away record5W 2D 2L2W 1D 7L
Clean sheets35%30%
Both teams scored55%25%
Over 2.5 goals55%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals85%1/6
Over 2.5 goals65%8/15
Over 3.5 goals43%5/4
Both teams to score53%10/11
Stockport County or Draw90%1/9
AFC Wimbledon or Draw27%11/4
Stockport County to win and Over 2.554%5/6
AFC Wimbledon to win and Over 2.56%14/1
Stockport County clean sheet43%11/8
AFC Wimbledon clean sheet8%11/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-010.9%
2-19.3%
3-09.2%
1-08.3%
1-17.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Stockport County vs AFC Wimbledon?

Our prediction for Stockport County vs AFC Wimbledon is Stockport County to win, with a 73% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/11.

What is the score prediction for Stockport County vs AFC Wimbledon?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 3-0. We expect Stockport County to score 2.5 goals and AFC Wimbledon 0.8.

Will both teams score in Stockport County vs AFC Wimbledon?

Both teams to score has a 53% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Stockport County last 20 games and 5 of AFC Wimbledon last 20.

How are Stockport County playing?

Stockport County have 11 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, D, newest first.

How are AFC Wimbledon playing?

AFC Wimbledon have 4 wins, 4 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 10 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, D, newest first.

What happened when Stockport County and AFC Wimbledon last met?

It ended AFC Wimbledon 0, Stockport County 2. In the last 2 meetings Stockport County won 2 and AFC Wimbledon won 0.

What is the best bet for Stockport County vs AFC Wimbledon?

Over 1.5 goals at 2/11, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Stockport against Wimbledon. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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