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Predictions › United Kingdom › Stockport County vs Barnsley
League OneSat 10 Oct, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Stockport County vs Barnsley prediction

Edgeley Park

Stockport CountyHome
1.97 : 1.14
expected goals
BarnsleyAway
56%Stockport
23%Draw
21%Barnsley
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1/4

Quick answer

Our prediction for Stockport County vs Barnsley is Stockport County to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

Prediction
Stockport County to win
Chance
56%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Stockport County 2.0, Barnsley 1.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1/4
Both teams to score
59%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
80% chanceFair price 1/42 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Stockport County to win and Over 2.5
37% chanceFair price 7/41 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Stockport County 56%, the draw 23% and Barnsley 21%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Stockport County took 7 points from their last 5 games and Barnsley took 5 from 5. Stockport County come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Stockport County won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Barnsley won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Stockport County score 1.9 goals a game and let in 1.3. Barnsley score 1.1 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Stockport County games and 11 of Barnsley games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Stockport County won 1 and Barnsley won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Barnsley 1, Stockport County 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Barnsleyrecent form-6%
Stockport form W D L W LBarnsley form L D L L LHome edge in this league 21% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Stockport County vs Barnsley: Stockport County are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Stockport County host Barnsley in the League One on Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 at Edgeley Park. Our prediction for Stockport County vs Barnsley is Stockport County to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

Stockport County form

Stockport County have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, L, newest first.

Barnsley form

Barnsley have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Stockport County won 1, Barnsley won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Barnsley 1, Stockport County 3.

Our call

We expect Stockport County to score about 2.0 goals and Barnsley about 1.1. That points to Stockport County to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4. Our bold bet is Stockport County to win and Over 2.5 at 7/4.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

StockportBarnsley
Games played2020
Wins105
Draws47
Losses68
Goals scored3923
Goals conceded2532
Scored per game1.91.1
Conceded per game1.31.6
Home record5W 1D 4L2W 3D 5L
Away record5W 3D 2L3W 4D 3L
Clean sheets35%15%
Both teams scored55%60%
Over 2.5 goals60%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals82%2/9
Over 2.5 goals60%4/6
Over 3.5 goals38%13/8
Both teams to score59%4/6
Stockport County or Draw79%1/4
Barnsley or Draw44%5/4
Stockport County to win and Over 2.539%8/5
Barnsley to win and Over 2.514%13/2
Stockport County clean sheet32%85/40
Barnsley clean sheet14%6/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.6%
2-19.9%
2-08.7%
1-08.2%
3-16.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Stockport County vs Barnsley?

Our prediction for Stockport County vs Barnsley is Stockport County to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

What is the score prediction for Stockport County vs Barnsley?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Stockport County to score 2.0 goals and Barnsley 1.1.

Will both teams score in Stockport County vs Barnsley?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Stockport County last 20 games and 12 of Barnsley last 20.

How are Stockport County playing?

Stockport County have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Barnsley playing?

Barnsley have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Stockport County and Barnsley last met?

It ended Barnsley 1, Stockport County 3. In the last 2 meetings Stockport County won 1 and Barnsley won 0.

What is the best bet for Stockport County vs Barnsley?

Over 1.5 goals at 1/4, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Stockport against Barnsley. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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