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Predictions › United Kingdom › Stockport County vs Reading
League OneSat 14 Nov, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Stockport County vs Reading prediction

Edgeley Park

Stockport CountyHome
1.64 : 1.10
expected goals
ReadingAway
49%Stockport
26%Draw
25%Reading
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
3/10

Quick answer

Our prediction for Stockport County vs Reading is Stockport County to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 3/10.

Prediction
Stockport County to win
Chance
49%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Stockport County 1.6, Reading 1.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 3/10
Both teams to score
54%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 3/102 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Stockport County to win and Over 2.5
31% chanceFair price 9/41 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Stockport County 49%, the draw 26% and Reading 25%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Stockport County took 10 points from their last 5 games and Reading took 7 from 5. Stockport County come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Stockport County won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Reading won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Stockport County score 1.8 goals a game and let in 1.1. Reading score 1.6 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Stockport County games and 10 of Reading games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Stockport County won 0 and Reading won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Reading 1, Stockport County 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Stockportrecent form+1%
  • Readingrest between games-5%
Stockport form D L D W WReading form L D W W LHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Stockport County vs Reading: Stockport County are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Stockport County host Reading in the League One on Sat 14 Nov, 15:00 at Edgeley Park. Our prediction for Stockport County vs Reading is Stockport County to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 3/10.

Stockport County form

Stockport County have 11 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, W, newest first.

Reading form

Reading have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Stockport County won 0, Reading won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Reading 1, Stockport County 0.

Our call

We expect Stockport County to score about 1.6 goals and Reading about 1.1. That points to Stockport County to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 3/10. Our bold bet is Stockport County to win and Over 2.5 at 9/4.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

StockportReading
Games played2020
Wins117
Draws36
Losses67
Goals scored3532
Goals conceded2223
Scored per game1.81.6
Conceded per game1.11.1
Home record6W 1D 3L5W 1D 4L
Away record5W 2D 3L2W 5D 3L
Clean sheets35%30%
Both teams scored55%55%
Over 2.5 goals50%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals76%3/10
Over 2.5 goals52%10/11
Over 3.5 goals29%12/5
Both teams to score54%5/6
Stockport County or Draw75%1/3
Reading or Draw51%Evens
Stockport County to win and Over 2.531%9/4
Reading to win and Over 2.514%6/1
Stockport County clean sheet33%2/1
Reading clean sheet19%4/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.4%
1-09.9%
2-19.6%
2-08.7%
0-07.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Stockport County vs Reading?

Our prediction for Stockport County vs Reading is Stockport County to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 3/10.

What is the score prediction for Stockport County vs Reading?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Stockport County to score 1.6 goals and Reading 1.1.

Will both teams score in Stockport County vs Reading?

Both teams to score has a 54% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Stockport County last 20 games and 11 of Reading last 20.

How are Stockport County playing?

Stockport County have 11 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, W, newest first.

How are Reading playing?

Reading have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Stockport County and Reading last met?

It ended Reading 1, Stockport County 0. In the last 2 meetings Stockport County won 0 and Reading won 1.

What is the best bet for Stockport County vs Reading?

Over 1.5 goals at 3/10, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Stockport against Reading. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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