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Predictions › United Kingdom › Stoke City vs Bristol City
ChampionshipSat 24 Oct, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Stoke City vs Bristol City prediction

bet365 Stadium

Stoke CityHome
1.62 : 1.23
expected goals
Bristol CityAway
46%Stoke
26%Draw
28%Bristol City
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
3/10

Quick answer

Our prediction for Stoke City vs Bristol City is Stoke City to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 3/10.

Prediction
Stoke City to win
Chance
46%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Stoke City 1.6, Bristol City 1.2
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 3/10
Both teams to score
57%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 3/102 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Stoke City to win and Over 2.5
27% chanceFair price 13/51 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Stoke City 46%, the draw 26% and Bristol City 28%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Stoke City took 10 points from their last 5 games and Bristol City took 4 from 5. Stoke City come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Stoke City won 5 of their last 11 games at home. Bristol City won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Stoke City score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.6. Bristol City score 1.1 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Stoke City games and 9 of Bristol City games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Stoke City won 1 and Bristol City won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Bristol City 2, Stoke City 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Stokerecent form+4%
  • Bristol Cityrecent form-1%
  • Stokerest between games-5%
  • Bristol Cityrest between games-5%
Stoke form D W W W DBristol City form D D W L LHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Stoke City vs Bristol City: Stoke City are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Stoke City host Bristol City in the Championship on Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 at bet365 Stadium. Our prediction for Stoke City vs Bristol City is Stoke City to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 3/10.

Stoke City form

Stoke City have 7 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, D, newest first.

Bristol City form

Bristol City have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Stoke City won 1, Bristol City won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Bristol City 2, Stoke City 0.

Our call

We expect Stoke City to score about 1.6 goals and Bristol City about 1.2. That points to Stoke City to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 3/10. Our bold bet is Stoke City to win and Over 2.5 at 13/5.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

StokeBristol City
Games played2020
Wins77
Draws35
Losses108
Goals scored2623
Goals conceded3326
Scored per game1.31.1
Conceded per game1.61.3
Home record5W 2D 4L4W 0D 6L
Away record2W 1D 6L3W 5D 2L
Clean sheets20%20%
Both teams scored65%55%
Over 2.5 goals55%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals78%2/7
Over 2.5 goals54%5/6
Over 3.5 goals32%85/40
Both teams to score57%8/11
Stoke City or Draw72%2/5
Bristol City or Draw54%5/6
Stoke City to win and Over 2.530%12/5
Bristol City to win and Over 2.517%9/2
Stoke City clean sheet29%12/5
Bristol City clean sheet20%4/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.2%
2-19.3%
1-08.7%
2-07.6%
1-27.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Stoke City vs Bristol City?

Our prediction for Stoke City vs Bristol City is Stoke City to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 3/10.

What is the score prediction for Stoke City vs Bristol City?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Stoke City to score 1.6 goals and Bristol City 1.2.

Will both teams score in Stoke City vs Bristol City?

Both teams to score has a 57% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Stoke City last 20 games and 11 of Bristol City last 20.

How are Stoke City playing?

Stoke City have 7 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, D, newest first.

How are Bristol City playing?

Bristol City have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Stoke City and Bristol City last met?

It ended Bristol City 2, Stoke City 0. In the last 2 meetings Stoke City won 1 and Bristol City won 1.

What is the best bet for Stoke City vs Bristol City?

Over 1.5 goals at 3/10, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Stoke against Bristol City. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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