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Predictions › United Kingdom › Stoke City vs Preston North End
ChampionshipSat 31 Oct, 12:30 United Kingdom time

Stoke City vs Preston North End prediction

bet365 Stadium

Stoke CityHome
2.17 : 1.11
expected goals
Preston North EndAway
61%Stoke
21%Draw
18%Preston
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1/5

Quick answer

Our prediction for Stoke City vs Preston North End is Stoke City to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/5.

Prediction
Stoke City to win
Chance
61%
Most likely score
2-1
Expected goals
Stoke City 2.2, Preston North End 1.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1/5
Both teams to score
60%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
84% chanceFair price 1/52 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Stoke City to win and Over 2.5
44% chanceFair price 5/41 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Stoke City 61%, the draw 21% and Preston North End 18%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Stoke City took 12 points from their last 5 games and Preston North End took 1 from 5. Stoke City come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Stoke City won 5 of their last 11 games at home. Preston North End won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Stoke City score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.5. Preston North End score 1.0 and let in 2.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Stoke City games and 14 of Preston North End games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Stoke City won 0 and Preston North End won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Preston North End 3, Stoke City 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Stokerecent form+3%
  • Prestonrecent form-4%
Stoke form D L W W WPreston form D L L D LHome edge in this league 19% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Stoke City vs Preston North End: Stoke City are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Stoke City host Preston North End in the Championship on Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 at bet365 Stadium. Our prediction for Stoke City vs Preston North End is Stoke City to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/5.

Stoke City form

Stoke City have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Preston North End form

Preston North End have 3 wins, 4 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 42 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Stoke City won 0, Preston North End won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Preston North End 3, Stoke City 1.

Our call

We expect Stoke City to score about 2.2 goals and Preston North End about 1.1. That points to Stoke City to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/5. Our bold bet is Stoke City to win and Over 2.5 at 5/4.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

StokePreston
Games played2020
Wins83
Draws34
Losses913
Goals scored2620
Goals conceded3042
Scored per game1.31.0
Conceded per game1.52.1
Home record5W 2D 4L1W 2D 7L
Away record3W 1D 5L2W 2D 6L
Clean sheets25%0%
Both teams scored60%70%
Over 2.5 goals50%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals84%2/11
Over 2.5 goals64%4/7
Over 3.5 goals41%7/5
Both teams to score60%4/6
Stoke City or Draw82%2/9
Preston North End or Draw39%8/5
Stoke City to win and Over 2.544%5/4
Preston North End to win and Over 2.512%15/2
Stoke City clean sheet33%2/1
Preston North End clean sheet11%15/2

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-19.8%
1-19.6%
2-08.9%
1-07.6%
3-17.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Stoke City vs Preston North End?

Our prediction for Stoke City vs Preston North End is Stoke City to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/5.

What is the score prediction for Stoke City vs Preston North End?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 2-0. We expect Stoke City to score 2.2 goals and Preston North End 1.1.

Will both teams score in Stoke City vs Preston North End?

Both teams to score has a 60% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Stoke City last 20 games and 14 of Preston North End last 20.

How are Stoke City playing?

Stoke City have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Preston North End playing?

Preston North End have 3 wins, 4 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 42 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, L, newest first.

What happened when Stoke City and Preston North End last met?

It ended Preston North End 3, Stoke City 1. In the last 2 meetings Stoke City won 0 and Preston North End won 1.

What is the best bet for Stoke City vs Preston North End?

Over 1.5 goals at 1/5, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Stoke against Preston. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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