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Predictions › Italy › Sudtirol vs Sampdoria
Serie BSat 24 Oct, 13:00 Italy time

Sudtirol vs Sampdoria prediction

Stadio Druso

SudtirolHome
1.21 : 0.61
expected goals
SampdoriaAway
50%Sudtirol
32%Draw
18%Sampdoria
Eagle safe pickSudtirol or Draw
1.25

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sudtirol vs Sampdoria is Sudtirol to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Sudtirol or Draw at 1.25.

Prediction
Sudtirol to win
Chance
50%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Sudtirol 1.2, Sampdoria 0.6
Best bet
Sudtirol or Draw at 1.25
Both teams to score
33%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Sudtirol or Draw
80% chanceFair price 1.252 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-0
19% chanceFair price 5.271 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Sudtirol 50%, the draw 32% and Sampdoria 18%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Sudtirol took 9 points from their last 5 games and Sampdoria took 3 from 5. Sudtirol come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Sudtirol won 2 of their last 12 games at home. Sampdoria won 1 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Sudtirol score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.2. Sampdoria score 0.8 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of Sudtirol games and 9 of Sampdoria games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Sudtirol won 0 and Sampdoria won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Sampdoria 1, Sudtirol 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Sudtirol or Draw has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Sudtirolrecent form+1%
  • Sampdoriarecent form-3%
Sudtirol form D W L D WSampdoria form D W L L LHome edge in this league 31% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Sudtirol vs Sampdoria: Sudtirol are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Sudtirol host Sampdoria in the Serie B on Sat 24 Oct, 13:00 at Stadio Druso. Our prediction for Sudtirol vs Sampdoria is Sudtirol to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Sudtirol or Draw at 1.25.

Sudtirol form

Sudtirol have 4 wins, 10 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 7 draws and 3 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, W, D, newest first.

Sampdoria form

Sampdoria have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Sudtirol won 0, Sampdoria won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Sampdoria 1, Sudtirol 0.

Our call

We expect Sudtirol to score about 1.2 goals and Sampdoria about 0.6. That points to Sudtirol to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Sudtirol or Draw at 1.25. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-0 at 5.27.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SudtirolSampdoria
Games played2020
Wins46
Draws104
Losses610
Goals scored2115
Goals conceded2429
Scored per game1.10.8
Conceded per game1.21.4
Home record2W 7D 3L5W 1D 3L
Away record2W 3D 3L1W 3D 7L
Clean sheets35%25%
Both teams scored50%45%
Over 2.5 goals30%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals55%1.83
Over 2.5 goals27%3.67
Over 3.5 goals11%9.04
Both teams to score33%3.07
Sudtirol or Draw82%1.22
Sampdoria or Draw50%2.00
Sudtirol to win and Over 2.519%5.22
Sampdoria to win and Over 2.56%17.39
Sudtirol clean sheet54%1.83
Sampdoria clean sheet30%3.34

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-019.0%
0-017.0%
1-112.7%
2-011.9%
0-19.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Sudtirol vs Sampdoria?

Our prediction for Sudtirol vs Sampdoria is Sudtirol to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Sudtirol or Draw at 1.25.

What is the score prediction for Sudtirol vs Sampdoria?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 0-0 and 1-1. We expect Sudtirol to score 1.2 goals and Sampdoria 0.6.

Will both teams score in Sudtirol vs Sampdoria?

Both teams to score has a 33% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Sudtirol last 20 games and 9 of Sampdoria last 20.

How are Sudtirol playing?

Sudtirol have 4 wins, 10 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 7 draws and 3 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, W, D, newest first.

How are Sampdoria playing?

Sampdoria have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Sudtirol and Sampdoria last met?

It ended Sampdoria 1, Sudtirol 0. In the last 1 meeting Sudtirol won 0 and Sampdoria won 1.

What is the best bet for Sudtirol vs Sampdoria?

Sudtirol or Draw at 1.25, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Sudtirol against Sampdoria. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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