Predictions › Europa League › Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb

Europa LeagueThu 5 Nov, 20:00 UTC

Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb prediction

Stadium of Light

SunderlandHome

1.67 : 0.94

expected goals

Dinamo ZagrebAway

54%Sunderland

26%Draw

20%Dinamo Zagreb

Eagle safe pickSunderland or Draw

1.25

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb is Sunderland to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Sunderland or Draw at 1.25.

Prediction: Sunderland to win
Chance: 54%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Sunderland 1.7, Dinamo Zagreb 0.9
Best bet: Sunderland or Draw at 1.25
Both teams to score: 50%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Sunderland or Draw

80% chanceFair price 1.252 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Sunderland to win and Over 2.5

31% chanceFair price 3.251 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Sunderland 54%, the draw 26% and Dinamo Zagreb 20%. The bookmakers agree and make Sunderland the favourite at 1.46.
2
Recent form
Sunderland took 5 points from their last 5 games and Dinamo Zagreb took 5 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.
3
Home and away
Sunderland won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Dinamo Zagreb won 1 of their last 6 on the road.
4
Goals
Sunderland score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.4. Dinamo Zagreb score 1.5 and let in 2.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Sunderland games and 9 of Dinamo Zagreb games in that run.
5
The safest bet
Sunderland or Draw has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Sunderlandrecent form-1%
Sunderlandrest between games-5%

Sunderland form D D L W LDinamo Zagreb form D W D L DHome edge in this league 19% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb: Sunderland are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Sunderland host Dinamo Zagreb in the Europa League on Thu 5 Nov, 20:00 at Stadium of Light. Our prediction for Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb is Sunderland to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Sunderland or Draw at 1.25.

Sunderland form

Sunderland have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, W, L, newest first.

Dinamo Zagreb form

Dinamo Zagreb have 4 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in their last 13 games, with 19 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, D, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Sunderland to score about 1.7 goals and Dinamo Zagreb about 0.9. That points to Sunderland to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Sunderland or Draw at 1.25. Our bold bet is Sunderland to win and Over 2.5 at 3.25.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Sunderland	Dinamo Zagreb
Games played	20	13
Wins	8	4
Draws	5	3
Losses	7	6
Goals scored	23	19
Goals conceded	29	26
Scored per game	1.1	1.5
Conceded per game	1.4	2.0
Home record	5W 2D 3L	3W 0D 4L
Away record	3W 3D 4L	1W 3D 2L
Clean sheets	30%	15%
Both teams scored	50%	62%
Over 2.5 goals	40%	69%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Sunderland to win	50%	2.01	1.46	-27.5%
A Draw	25%	4.04	4.60	+13.8%
Dinamo Zagreb to win	20%	5.03	6.00	+19.4%
Over 2.5 goals	51%	1.96	1.57	-19.8%
Under 2.5 goals	43%	2.32	2.25	-2.9%
Sunderland -1.5	39%	2.57	2.10	-18.4%
Dinamo Zagreb +1.5	55%	1.80	1.61	-10.9%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	74%	1.35
Over 2.5 goals	48%	2.07
Over 3.5 goals	27%	3.77
Both teams to score	50%	2.00
Sunderland or Draw	80%	1.26
Dinamo Zagreb or Draw	46%	2.17
Sunderland to win and Over 2.5	32%	3.12
Dinamo Zagreb to win and Over 2.5	11%	9.16
Sunderland clean sheet	39%	2.55
Dinamo Zagreb clean sheet	19%	5.32

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.2%

1-011.6%

2-010.3%

2-19.6%

0-08.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Premier League

Premier League Panel Backs Controversial Referee Decisions

A Premier League panel has backed refereeing decisions in recent matches involving Manchester City and Everton.

30 Sept 2026

Premier League

Arteta Fuming Over Penalty Call Despite Arsenal's Two-Goal Win

Mikel Arteta lashed out at officials over a penalty decision against Arsenal, despite his side securing a 2-0 victory over Sunderland.

13 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Our prediction for Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb is Sunderland to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Sunderland or Draw at 1.25.

What is the score prediction for Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-0. We expect Sunderland to score 1.7 goals and Dinamo Zagreb 0.9.

Will both teams score in Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Both teams to score has a 50% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Sunderland last 20 games and 8 of Dinamo Zagreb last 13.

How are Sunderland playing?

How are Dinamo Zagreb playing?

What is the best bet for Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Sunderland or Draw at 1.25, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Sunderland against Dinamo Zagreb. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.