Predictions › Germany › SV Darmstadt 98 vs Energie Cottbus

2. BundesligaSat 10 Oct, 11:00 Germany time

SV Darmstadt 98 vs Energie Cottbus prediction

Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor

SV Darmstadt 98Home

1.81 : 1.53

expected goals

Energie CottbusAway

44%Darmstadt

24%Draw

32%Cottbus

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for SV Darmstadt 98 vs Energie Cottbus is SV Darmstadt 98 to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

Prediction: SV Darmstadt 98 to win
Chance: 44%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: SV Darmstadt 98 1.8, Energie Cottbus 1.5
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.21
Both teams to score: 66%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

83% chanceFair price 1.212 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

SV Darmstadt 98 to win and Over 2.5

31% chanceFair price 3.231 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives SV Darmstadt 98 44%, the draw 24% and Energie Cottbus 32%. The bookmakers agree and make SV Darmstadt 98 the favourite at 2.15.
2
Recent form
SV Darmstadt 98 took 3 points from their last 5 games and Energie Cottbus took 5 from 5. Energie Cottbus come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
SV Darmstadt 98 won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Energie Cottbus won 1 of their last 3 on the road.
4
Goals
SV Darmstadt 98 score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.8. Energie Cottbus score 2.3 and let in 2.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of SV Darmstadt 98 games and 5 of Energie Cottbus games in that run.
5
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Darmstadtrecent form-1%
Cottbusrecent form-1%

Darmstadt form L W L L WCottbus form D W D L LHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

SV Darmstadt 98 vs Energie Cottbus: SV Darmstadt 98 shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

SV Darmstadt 98 host Energie Cottbus in the 2. Bundesliga on Sat 10 Oct, 11:00 at Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor. Our prediction for SV Darmstadt 98 vs Energie Cottbus is SV Darmstadt 98 to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

SV Darmstadt 98 form

SV Darmstadt 98 have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 36 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Energie Cottbus form

Energie Cottbus have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 games, with 14 goals scored and 13 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss from 3. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect SV Darmstadt 98 to score about 1.8 goals and Energie Cottbus about 1.5. That points to SV Darmstadt 98 to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21. Our bold bet is SV Darmstadt 98 to win and Over 2.5 at 3.23.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Darmstadt	Cottbus
Games played	20	6
Wins	4	2
Draws	6	2
Losses	10	2
Goals scored	26	14
Goals conceded	36	13
Scored per game	1.3	2.3
Conceded per game	1.8	2.2
Home record	4W 3D 3L	1W 1D 1L
Away record	0W 3D 7L	1W 1D 1L
Clean sheets	10%	17%
Both teams scored	65%	67%
Over 2.5 goals	60%	83%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
SV Darmstadt 98 to win	41%	2.44	2.15	-12.0%
A Draw	23%	4.30	3.85	-10.5%
Energie Cottbus to win	31%	3.23	2.85	-11.7%
Over 3.5 goals	43%	2.31	1.91	-17.4%
Under 3.5 goals	50%	1.98	1.74	-12.1%
SV Darmstadt 98 -0.5	42%	2.39	2.00	-16.5%
Energie Cottbus +0.5	52%	1.92	1.65	-14.5%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	85%	1.17
Over 2.5 goals	65%	1.54
Over 3.5 goals	43%	2.33
Both teams to score	66%	1.51
SV Darmstadt 98 or Draw	68%	1.48
Energie Cottbus or Draw	56%	1.78
SV Darmstadt 98 to win and Over 2.5	32%	3.10
Energie Cottbus to win and Over 2.5	23%	4.28
SV Darmstadt 98 clean sheet	22%	4.64
Energie Cottbus clean sheet	16%	6.12

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.4%

2-18.9%

1-27.5%

2-26.8%

1-05.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win SV Darmstadt 98 vs Energie Cottbus?

Our prediction for SV Darmstadt 98 vs Energie Cottbus is SV Darmstadt 98 to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for SV Darmstadt 98 vs Energie Cottbus?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect SV Darmstadt 98 to score 1.8 goals and Energie Cottbus 1.5.

Will both teams score in SV Darmstadt 98 vs Energie Cottbus?

Both teams to score has a 66% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of SV Darmstadt 98 last 20 games and 4 of Energie Cottbus last 6.

How are SV Darmstadt 98 playing?

How are Energie Cottbus playing?

What is the best bet for SV Darmstadt 98 vs Energie Cottbus?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.21, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Darmstadt against Cottbus. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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