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Predictions › Germany › SV Darmstadt 98 vs St. Pauli
2. BundesligaFri 23 Oct, 16:30 Germany time

SV Darmstadt 98 vs St. Pauli prediction

Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor

SV Darmstadt 98Home
1.73 : 1.31
expected goals
St. PauliAway
47%Darmstadt
25%Draw
28%St. Pauli
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.26

Quick answer

Our prediction for SV Darmstadt 98 vs St. Pauli is SV Darmstadt 98 to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26.

Prediction
SV Darmstadt 98 to win
Chance
47%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
SV Darmstadt 98 1.7, St. Pauli 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.26
Both teams to score
61%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
79% chanceFair price 1.262 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

SV Darmstadt 98 to win and Over 2.5
30% chanceFair price 3.331 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives SV Darmstadt 98 47%, the draw 25% and St. Pauli 28%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    SV Darmstadt 98 took 6 points from their last 5 games and St. Pauli took 8 from 5. St. Pauli come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    SV Darmstadt 98 won 4 of their last 10 games at home. St. Pauli won 1 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    SV Darmstadt 98 score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.9. St. Pauli score 0.9 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of SV Darmstadt 98 games and 10 of St. Pauli games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Darmstadtrecent form-3%
  • St. Paulirest between games-2%
Darmstadt form D L W L LSt. Pauli form D D W D LHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

SV Darmstadt 98 vs St. Pauli: SV Darmstadt 98 are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

SV Darmstadt 98 host St. Pauli in the 2. Bundesliga on Fri 23 Oct, 16:30 at Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor. Our prediction for SV Darmstadt 98 vs St. Pauli is SV Darmstadt 98 to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26.

SV Darmstadt 98 form

SV Darmstadt 98 have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 37 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

St. Pauli form

St. Pauli have 4 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, D, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect SV Darmstadt 98 to score about 1.7 goals and St. Pauli about 1.3. That points to SV Darmstadt 98 to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26. Our bold bet is SV Darmstadt 98 to win and Over 2.5 at 3.33.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

DarmstadtSt. Pauli
Games played2020
Wins44
Draws67
Losses109
Goals scored2519
Goals conceded3733
Scored per game1.30.9
Conceded per game1.91.6
Home record4W 3D 3L3W 3D 5L
Away record0W 3D 7L1W 4D 4L
Clean sheets5%20%
Both teams scored70%60%
Over 2.5 goals60%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals81%1.23
Over 2.5 goals59%1.71
Over 3.5 goals36%2.77
Both teams to score61%1.65
SV Darmstadt 98 or Draw72%1.40
St. Pauli or Draw53%1.88
SV Darmstadt 98 to win and Over 2.532%3.13
St. Pauli to win and Over 2.519%5.36
SV Darmstadt 98 clean sheet27%3.70
St. Pauli clean sheet18%5.64

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.5%
2-19.4%
1-07.6%
2-07.2%
1-27.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win SV Darmstadt 98 vs St. Pauli?

Our prediction for SV Darmstadt 98 vs St. Pauli is SV Darmstadt 98 to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26.

What is the score prediction for SV Darmstadt 98 vs St. Pauli?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect SV Darmstadt 98 to score 1.7 goals and St. Pauli 1.3.

Will both teams score in SV Darmstadt 98 vs St. Pauli?

Both teams to score has a 61% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of SV Darmstadt 98 last 20 games and 12 of St. Pauli last 20.

How are SV Darmstadt 98 playing?

SV Darmstadt 98 have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 37 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are St. Pauli playing?

St. Pauli have 4 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, D, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for SV Darmstadt 98 vs St. Pauli?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.26, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Darmstadt against St. Pauli. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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