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Predictions › Austria › SV Josko Ried vs Austria Vienna
Austrian BundesligaSat 17 Oct, 17:30 Austria time

SV Josko Ried vs Austria Vienna prediction

Innviertel Arena

SV Josko RiedHome
1.68 : 1.16
expected goals
Austria ViennaAway
49%SV Josko Ried
26%Draw
26%Vienna
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for SV Josko Ried vs Austria Vienna is SV Josko Ried to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Prediction
SV Josko Ried to win
Chance
49%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
SV Josko Ried 1.7, Austria Vienna 1.2
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.31
Both teams to score
57%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1.312 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

SV Josko Ried to win and Over 2.5
31% chanceFair price 3.231 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives SV Josko Ried 49%, the draw 26% and Austria Vienna 26%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    SV Josko Ried took 7 points from their last 5 games and Austria Vienna took 7 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    SV Josko Ried won 8 of their last 11 games at home. Austria Vienna won 4 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    SV Josko Ried score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.4. Austria Vienna score 1.1 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of SV Josko Ried games and 11 of Austria Vienna games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, SV Josko Ried won 0 and Austria Vienna won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended SV Josko Ried 0, Austria Vienna 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Viennarecent form-1%
SV Josko Ried form W D L W LVienna form D W L L DHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

SV Josko Ried vs Austria Vienna: SV Josko Ried are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

SV Josko Ried host Austria Vienna in the Austrian Bundesliga on Sat 17 Oct, 17:30 at Innviertel Arena. Our prediction for SV Josko Ried vs Austria Vienna is SV Josko Ried to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

SV Josko Ried form

SV Josko Ried have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, L, newest first.

Austria Vienna form

Austria Vienna have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. SV Josko Ried won 0, Austria Vienna won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished SV Josko Ried 0, Austria Vienna 2.

Our call

We expect SV Josko Ried to score about 1.7 goals and Austria Vienna about 1.2. That points to SV Josko Ried to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31. Our bold bet is SV Josko Ried to win and Over 2.5 at 3.23.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SV Josko RiedVienna
Games played2020
Wins86
Draws44
Losses810
Goals scored2723
Goals conceded2937
Scored per game1.41.1
Conceded per game1.41.9
Home record8W 1D 2L2W 2D 5L
Away record0W 3D 6L4W 2D 5L
Clean sheets15%25%
Both teams scored65%55%
Over 2.5 goals55%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals78%1.28
Over 2.5 goals54%1.85
Over 3.5 goals32%3.15
Both teams to score57%1.77
SV Josko Ried or Draw74%1.35
Austria Vienna or Draw51%1.95
SV Josko Ried to win and Over 2.531%3.18
Austria Vienna to win and Over 2.516%6.37
SV Josko Ried clean sheet31%3.20
Austria Vienna clean sheet19%5.35

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.1%
2-19.6%
1-09.1%
2-08.2%
1-26.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win SV Josko Ried vs Austria Vienna?

Our prediction for SV Josko Ried vs Austria Vienna is SV Josko Ried to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for SV Josko Ried vs Austria Vienna?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect SV Josko Ried to score 1.7 goals and Austria Vienna 1.2.

Will both teams score in SV Josko Ried vs Austria Vienna?

Both teams to score has a 57% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of SV Josko Ried last 20 games and 11 of Austria Vienna last 20.

How are SV Josko Ried playing?

SV Josko Ried have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Austria Vienna playing?

Austria Vienna have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when SV Josko Ried and Austria Vienna last met?

It ended SV Josko Ried 0, Austria Vienna 2. In the last 2 meetings SV Josko Ried won 0 and Austria Vienna won 2.

What is the best bet for SV Josko Ried vs Austria Vienna?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.31, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in SV Josko Ried against Vienna. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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