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Predictions › Austria › SV Josko Ried vs LASK Linz
Austrian BundesligaSat 7 Nov, 18:30 Austria time

SV Josko Ried vs LASK Linz prediction

Innviertel Arena

SV Josko RiedHome
1.50 : 1.77
expected goals
LASK LinzAway
32%SV Josko Ried
24%Draw
44%LASK Linz
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for SV Josko Ried vs LASK Linz is LASK Linz to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

Prediction
LASK Linz to win
Chance
44%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
SV Josko Ried 1.5, LASK Linz 1.8
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.18
Both teams to score
65%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
85% chanceFair price 1.182 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

LASK Linz to win and Over 2.5
30% chanceFair price 3.291 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives SV Josko Ried 32%, the draw 24% and LASK Linz 44%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    SV Josko Ried took 11 points from their last 5 games and LASK Linz took 6 from 5. SV Josko Ried come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    SV Josko Ried won 7 of their last 10 games at home. LASK Linz won 7 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    SV Josko Ried score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.4. LASK Linz score 2.4 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of SV Josko Ried games and 15 of LASK Linz games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, SV Josko Ried won 0 and LASK Linz won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended LASK Linz 4, SV Josko Ried 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • SV Josko Riedrecent form+4%
SV Josko Ried form D W W W DLASK Linz form D W W L LHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

SV Josko Ried vs LASK Linz: LASK Linz shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

SV Josko Ried host LASK Linz in the Austrian Bundesliga on Sat 7 Nov, 18:30 at Innviertel Arena. Our prediction for SV Josko Ried vs LASK Linz is LASK Linz to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

SV Josko Ried form

SV Josko Ried have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, D, newest first.

LASK Linz form

LASK Linz have 12 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 48 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. SV Josko Ried won 0, LASK Linz won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished LASK Linz 4, SV Josko Ried 1.

Our call

We expect SV Josko Ried to score about 1.5 goals and LASK Linz about 1.8. That points to LASK Linz to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18. Our bold bet is LASK Linz to win and Over 2.5 at 3.29.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SV Josko RiedLASK Linz
Games played2020
Wins812
Draws53
Losses75
Goals scored2748
Goals conceded2828
Scored per game1.42.4
Conceded per game1.41.4
Home record7W 1D 2L5W 1D 3L
Away record1W 4D 5L7W 2D 2L
Clean sheets15%25%
Both teams scored65%65%
Over 2.5 goals55%75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals84%1.19
Over 2.5 goals63%1.58
Over 3.5 goals41%2.42
Both teams to score65%1.54
SV Josko Ried or Draw56%1.77
LASK Linz or Draw68%1.48
SV Josko Ried to win and Over 2.523%4.38
LASK Linz to win and Over 2.532%3.17
SV Josko Ried clean sheet17%5.87
LASK Linz clean sheet22%4.48

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.7%
1-28.9%
2-17.6%
2-26.7%
0-16.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win SV Josko Ried vs LASK Linz?

Our prediction for SV Josko Ried vs LASK Linz is LASK Linz to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for SV Josko Ried vs LASK Linz?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect SV Josko Ried to score 1.5 goals and LASK Linz 1.8.

Will both teams score in SV Josko Ried vs LASK Linz?

Both teams to score has a 65% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of SV Josko Ried last 20 games and 13 of LASK Linz last 20.

How are SV Josko Ried playing?

SV Josko Ried have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, D, newest first.

How are LASK Linz playing?

LASK Linz have 12 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 48 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when SV Josko Ried and LASK Linz last met?

It ended LASK Linz 4, SV Josko Ried 1. In the last 2 meetings SV Josko Ried won 0 and LASK Linz won 1.

What is the best bet for SV Josko Ried vs LASK Linz?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in SV Josko Ried against LASK Linz. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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