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Predictions › Austria › SV Josko Ried vs Wolfsberger
Austrian BundesligaSun 20 Sept, 12:30 Austria time

SV Josko Ried vs Wolfsberger prediction

Innviertel Arena

SV Josko RiedHome
1.42 : 0.87
expected goals
WolfsbergerAway
49%SV Josko Ried
29%Draw
22%Wolfsberger
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.23

Quick answer

Our prediction for SV Josko Ried vs Wolfsberger is SV Josko Ried to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.23.

Prediction
SV Josko Ried to win
Chance
49%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
SV Josko Ried 1.4, Wolfsberger 0.9
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.23
Both teams to score
45%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
82% chanceFair price 1.232 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-0
14% chanceFair price 7.341 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives SV Josko Ried 49%, the draw 29% and Wolfsberger 22%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    SV Josko Ried took 4 points from their last 5 games and Wolfsberger took 2 from 5. SV Josko Ried come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    SV Josko Ried won 7 of their last 11 games at home. Wolfsberger won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    SV Josko Ried score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.5. Wolfsberger score 1.0 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of SV Josko Ried games and 10 of Wolfsberger games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, SV Josko Ried won 3 and Wolfsberger won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended SV Josko Ried 2, Wolfsberger 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • SV Josko Riedrecent form-3%
  • Wolfsbergerrecent form-4%
  • SV Josko Riedrest between games-5%
  • Wolfsbergerrest between games-5%
SV Josko Ried form D L W L LWolfsberger form L L D L DHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

SV Josko Ried vs Wolfsberger: SV Josko Ried are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

SV Josko Ried host Wolfsberger in the Austrian Bundesliga on Sun 20 Sept, 12:30 at Innviertel Arena. Our prediction for SV Josko Ried vs Wolfsberger is SV Josko Ried to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.23.

SV Josko Ried form

SV Josko Ried have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Wolfsberger form

Wolfsberger have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. SV Josko Ried won 3, Wolfsberger won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished SV Josko Ried 2, Wolfsberger 1.

Our call

We expect SV Josko Ried to score about 1.4 goals and Wolfsberger about 0.9. That points to SV Josko Ried to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.23. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-0 at 7.34.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SV Josko RiedWolfsberger
Games played2020
Wins75
Draws46
Losses99
Goals scored2320
Goals conceded3028
Scored per game1.11.0
Conceded per game1.51.4
Home record7W 1D 3L3W 5D 2L
Away record0W 3D 6L2W 1D 7L
Clean sheets15%35%
Both teams scored60%45%
Over 2.5 goals50%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals67%1.48
Over 2.5 goals40%2.50
Over 3.5 goals20%5.04
Both teams to score45%2.23
SV Josko Ried or Draw78%1.29
Wolfsberger or Draw51%1.96
SV Josko Ried to win and Over 2.525%3.97
Wolfsberger to win and Over 2.510%9.59
SV Josko Ried clean sheet42%2.39
Wolfsberger clean sheet24%4.12

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-013.6%
1-113.3%
0-010.9%
2-010.2%
2-18.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win SV Josko Ried vs Wolfsberger?

Our prediction for SV Josko Ried vs Wolfsberger is SV Josko Ried to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.23.

What is the score prediction for SV Josko Ried vs Wolfsberger?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-0. We expect SV Josko Ried to score 1.4 goals and Wolfsberger 0.9.

Will both teams score in SV Josko Ried vs Wolfsberger?

Both teams to score has a 45% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of SV Josko Ried last 20 games and 9 of Wolfsberger last 20.

How are SV Josko Ried playing?

SV Josko Ried have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Wolfsberger playing?

Wolfsberger have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, D, newest first.

What happened when SV Josko Ried and Wolfsberger last met?

It ended SV Josko Ried 2, Wolfsberger 1. In the last 5 meetings SV Josko Ried won 3 and Wolfsberger won 1.

What is the best bet for SV Josko Ried vs Wolfsberger?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.23, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in SV Josko Ried against Wolfsberger. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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