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Predictions › United Kingdom › Swansea City vs Blackburn Rovers
ChampionshipSat 31 Oct, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Swansea City vs Blackburn Rovers prediction

Swansea.com Stadium

Swansea CityHome
1.43 : 0.93
expected goals
Blackburn RoversAway
48%Swansea
28%Draw
24%Blackburn
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
2/7

Quick answer

Our prediction for Swansea City vs Blackburn Rovers is Swansea City to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 2/7.

Prediction
Swansea City to win
Chance
48%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Swansea City 1.4, Blackburn Rovers 0.9
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 2/7
Both teams to score
47%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
78% chanceFair price 2/72 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 13/21 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Swansea City 48%, the draw 28% and Blackburn Rovers 24%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Swansea City took 12 points from their last 5 games and Blackburn Rovers took 10 from 5. Swansea City come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Swansea City won 4 of their last 11 games at home. Blackburn Rovers won 4 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Swansea City score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.1. Blackburn Rovers score 1.3 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Swansea City games and 13 of Blackburn Rovers games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Swansea City won 2 and Blackburn Rovers won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Swansea City 3, Blackburn Rovers 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Swansearecent form+6%
  • Blackburnrecent form+4%
Swansea form D W W W WBlackburn form D W W D WHome edge in this league 19% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Swansea City vs Blackburn Rovers: Swansea City are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Swansea City host Blackburn Rovers in the Championship on Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 at Swansea.com Stadium. Our prediction for Swansea City vs Blackburn Rovers is Swansea City to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 2/7.

Swansea City form

Swansea City have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Blackburn Rovers form

Blackburn Rovers have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Swansea City won 2, Blackburn Rovers won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Swansea City 3, Blackburn Rovers 1.

Our call

We expect Swansea City to score about 1.4 goals and Blackburn Rovers about 0.9. That points to Swansea City to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 2/7. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 13/2.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SwanseaBlackburn
Games played2020
Wins107
Draws56
Losses57
Goals scored2926
Goals conceded2226
Scored per game1.41.3
Conceded per game1.11.3
Home record4W 3D 4L3W 2D 4L
Away record6W 2D 1L4W 4D 3L
Clean sheets30%20%
Both teams scored55%70%
Over 2.5 goals60%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals69%4/9
Over 2.5 goals42%11/8
Over 3.5 goals21%7/2
Both teams to score47%11/10
Swansea City or Draw76%3/10
Blackburn Rovers or Draw52%10/11
Swansea City to win and Over 2.525%3/1
Blackburn Rovers to win and Over 2.512%15/2
Swansea City clean sheet39%6/4
Blackburn Rovers clean sheet24%10/3

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.3%
1-012.7%
0-010.2%
2-09.6%
2-19.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Swansea City vs Blackburn Rovers?

Our prediction for Swansea City vs Blackburn Rovers is Swansea City to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 2/7.

What is the score prediction for Swansea City vs Blackburn Rovers?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Swansea City to score 1.4 goals and Blackburn Rovers 0.9.

Will both teams score in Swansea City vs Blackburn Rovers?

Both teams to score has a 47% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Swansea City last 20 games and 14 of Blackburn Rovers last 20.

How are Swansea City playing?

Swansea City have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Blackburn Rovers playing?

Blackburn Rovers have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, D, W, newest first.

What happened when Swansea City and Blackburn Rovers last met?

It ended Swansea City 3, Blackburn Rovers 1. In the last 2 meetings Swansea City won 2 and Blackburn Rovers won 0.

What is the best bet for Swansea City vs Blackburn Rovers?

Under 3.5 goals at 2/7, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Swansea against Blackburn. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
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