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Predictions › Australia › Sydney FC vs Central Coast Mariners FC
A-LeagueFri 6 Nov, 08:40 Australia time

Sydney FC vs Central Coast Mariners FC prediction

Allianz Stadium

Sydney FCHome
1.54 : 0.95
expected goals
Central Coast Mariners FCAway
50%Sydney FC
27%Draw
23%CC Mariners
Eagle safe pickSydney FC or Draw
1.28

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sydney FC vs Central Coast Mariners FC is Sydney FC to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Sydney FC or Draw at 1.28.

Prediction
Sydney FC to win
Chance
50%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Sydney FC 1.5, Central Coast Mariners FC 0.9
Best bet
Sydney FC or Draw at 1.28
Both teams to score
49%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Sydney FC or Draw
78% chanceFair price 1.282 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Sydney FC to win and Over 2.5
27% chanceFair price 3.671 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Sydney FC 50%, the draw 27% and Central Coast Mariners FC 23%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Sydney FC took 6 points from their last 5 games and Central Coast Mariners FC took 5 from 5. Sydney FC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Sydney FC won 3 of their last 12 games at home. Central Coast Mariners FC won 4 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Sydney FC score 1.0 goals a game and let in 1.0. Central Coast Mariners FC score 1.4 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Sydney FC games and 14 of Central Coast Mariners FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Sydney FC won 2 and Central Coast Mariners FC won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Central Coast Mariners FC 1, Sydney FC 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Sydney FC or Draw has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Sydney FCrest between games-2%
  • CC Marinersrest between games-2%
Sydney FC form D D L W DCC Mariners form D D L W DHome edge in this league 17% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Sydney FC vs Central Coast Mariners FC: Sydney FC are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Sydney FC host Central Coast Mariners FC in the A-League on Fri 6 Nov, 08:40 at Allianz Stadium. Our prediction for Sydney FC vs Central Coast Mariners FC is Sydney FC to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Sydney FC or Draw at 1.28.

Sydney FC form

Sydney FC have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, D, D, newest first.

Central Coast Mariners FC form

Central Coast Mariners FC have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Sydney FC won 2, Central Coast Mariners FC won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Central Coast Mariners FC 1, Sydney FC 2.

Our call

We expect Sydney FC to score about 1.5 goals and Central Coast Mariners FC about 0.9. That points to Sydney FC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Sydney FC or Draw at 1.28. Our bold bet is Sydney FC to win and Over 2.5 at 3.67.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Sydney FCCC Mariners
Games played2020
Wins66
Draws87
Losses67
Goals scored2028
Goals conceded2034
Scored per game1.01.4
Conceded per game1.01.7
Home record3W 6D 3L2W 6D 1L
Away record3W 2D 3L4W 1D 6L
Clean sheets35%20%
Both teams scored45%65%
Over 2.5 goals35%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals72%1.39
Over 2.5 goals45%2.21
Over 3.5 goals24%4.17
Both teams to score49%2.04
Sydney FC or Draw77%1.29
Central Coast Mariners FC or Draw50%2.01
Sydney FC to win and Over 2.528%3.53
Central Coast Mariners FC to win and Over 2.512%8.50
Sydney FC clean sheet39%2.59
Central Coast Mariners FC clean sheet22%4.65

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.9%
1-012.0%
2-09.8%
2-19.3%
0-09.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Sydney FC vs Central Coast Mariners FC?

Our prediction for Sydney FC vs Central Coast Mariners FC is Sydney FC to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Sydney FC or Draw at 1.28.

What is the score prediction for Sydney FC vs Central Coast Mariners FC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-0. We expect Sydney FC to score 1.5 goals and Central Coast Mariners FC 0.9.

Will both teams score in Sydney FC vs Central Coast Mariners FC?

Both teams to score has a 49% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Sydney FC last 20 games and 13 of Central Coast Mariners FC last 20.

How are Sydney FC playing?

Sydney FC have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, D, D, newest first.

How are Central Coast Mariners FC playing?

Central Coast Mariners FC have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Sydney FC and Central Coast Mariners FC last met?

It ended Central Coast Mariners FC 1, Sydney FC 2. In the last 2 meetings Sydney FC won 2 and Central Coast Mariners FC won 0.

What is the best bet for Sydney FC vs Central Coast Mariners FC?

Sydney FC or Draw at 1.28, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Sydney FC against CC Mariners. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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