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Predictions › Australia › Sydney FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers
A-LeagueFri 16 Oct, 09:00 Australia time

Sydney FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers prediction

Allianz Stadium

Sydney FCHome
1.67 : 1.01
expected goals
Western Sydney WanderersAway
52%Sydney FC
26%Draw
22%Western Sydney
Eagle safe pickSydney FC or Draw
1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sydney FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers is Sydney FC to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Sydney FC or Draw at 1.31.

Prediction
Sydney FC to win
Chance
52%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Sydney FC 1.7, Western Sydney Wanderers 1.0
Best bet
Sydney FC or Draw at 1.31
Both teams to score
52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Sydney FC or Draw
76% chanceFair price 1.312 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Sydney FC to win and Over 2.5
31% chanceFair price 3.191 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Sydney FC 52%, the draw 26% and Western Sydney Wanderers 22%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Sydney FC took 6 points from their last 5 games and Western Sydney Wanderers took 0 from 5. Sydney FC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Sydney FC won 2 of their last 11 games at home. Western Sydney Wanderers won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Sydney FC score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.1. Western Sydney Wanderers score 1.1 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Sydney FC games and 11 of Western Sydney Wanderers games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Sydney FC won 2 and Western Sydney Wanderers won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Western Sydney Wanderers 0, Sydney FC 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Sydney FC or Draw has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Sydney FCrecent form+1%
  • Western Sydneyrecent form-7%
  • Sydney FCrest between games-3%
  • Western Sydneyrest between games-3%
Sydney FC form L W D W DWestern Sydney form L L L L LHome edge in this league 15% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Sydney FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers: Sydney FC are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Sydney FC host Western Sydney Wanderers in the A-League on Fri 16 Oct, 09:00 at Allianz Stadium. Our prediction for Sydney FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers is Sydney FC to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Sydney FC or Draw at 1.31.

Sydney FC form

Sydney FC have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, W, D, newest first.

Western Sydney Wanderers form

Western Sydney Wanderers have 3 wins, 4 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Sydney FC won 2, Western Sydney Wanderers won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Western Sydney Wanderers 0, Sydney FC 2.

Our call

We expect Sydney FC to score about 1.7 goals and Western Sydney Wanderers about 1.0. That points to Sydney FC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Sydney FC or Draw at 1.31. Our bold bet is Sydney FC to win and Over 2.5 at 3.19.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Sydney FCWestern Sydney
Games played2020
Wins63
Draws74
Losses713
Goals scored2121
Goals conceded2136
Scored per game1.11.1
Conceded per game1.11.8
Home record2W 5D 4L1W 3D 6L
Away record4W 2D 3L2W 1D 7L
Clean sheets35%20%
Both teams scored40%50%
Over 2.5 goals35%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals75%1.32
Over 2.5 goals50%1.99
Over 3.5 goals28%3.55
Both teams to score52%1.91
Sydney FC or Draw78%1.28
Western Sydney Wanderers or Draw48%2.09
Sydney FC to win and Over 2.532%3.14
Western Sydney Wanderers to win and Over 2.512%8.04
Sydney FC clean sheet36%2.75
Western Sydney Wanderers clean sheet19%5.32

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.3%
1-010.8%
2-19.7%
2-09.6%
0-07.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Sydney FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers?

Our prediction for Sydney FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers is Sydney FC to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Sydney FC or Draw at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for Sydney FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Sydney FC to score 1.7 goals and Western Sydney Wanderers 1.0.

Will both teams score in Sydney FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Sydney FC last 20 games and 10 of Western Sydney Wanderers last 20.

How are Sydney FC playing?

Sydney FC have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, W, D, newest first.

How are Western Sydney Wanderers playing?

Western Sydney Wanderers have 3 wins, 4 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Sydney FC and Western Sydney Wanderers last met?

It ended Western Sydney Wanderers 0, Sydney FC 2. In the last 3 meetings Sydney FC won 2 and Western Sydney Wanderers won 1.

What is the best bet for Sydney FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers?

Sydney FC or Draw at 1.31, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Sydney FC against Western Sydney. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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