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Predictions › Argentina › Talleres (Córdoba) vs Belgrano (Córdoba)
Argentina Liga ProfesionalSun 4 Oct, 20:00 Argentina time

Talleres (Córdoba) vs Belgrano (Córdoba) prediction

Mario Alberto Kempes

Talleres (Córdoba)Home
1.03 : 1.07
expected goals
Belgrano (Córdoba)Away
33%Talleres
32%Draw
35%Belgrano
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.23

Quick answer

Our prediction for Talleres (Córdoba) vs Belgrano (Córdoba) is Belgrano (Córdoba) to win, with a 35% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.23.

Prediction
Belgrano (Córdoba) to win
Chance
35%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Talleres (Córdoba) 1.0, Belgrano (Córdoba) 1.1
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.23
Both teams to score
43%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
81% chanceFair price 1.232 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 6.991 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Talleres (Córdoba) 33%, the draw 32% and Belgrano (Córdoba) 35%. The bookmakers see it the other way and make Talleres (Córdoba) the favourite at 2.50, so take care with this one.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Talleres (Córdoba) took 5 points from their last 5 games and Belgrano (Córdoba) took 6 from 5. Belgrano (Córdoba) come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Talleres (Córdoba) won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Belgrano (Córdoba) won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Talleres (Córdoba) score 1.0 goals a game and let in 1.1. Belgrano (Córdoba) score 1.2 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Talleres (Córdoba) games and 7 of Belgrano (Córdoba) games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Talleres (Córdoba) won 0 and Belgrano (Córdoba) won 1 with 2 draws. The last one ended Talleres (Córdoba) 0, Belgrano (Córdoba) 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Talleres recent form-1%
Talleres form L W L D DBelgrano form W D D D LHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Talleres (Córdoba) vs Belgrano (Córdoba): Belgrano (Córdoba) shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Talleres (Córdoba) host Belgrano (Córdoba) in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Sun 4 Oct, 20:00 at Mario Alberto Kempes. Our prediction for Talleres (Córdoba) vs Belgrano (Córdoba) is Belgrano (Córdoba) to win, with a 35% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.23.

Talleres (Córdoba) form

Talleres (Córdoba) have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, D, D, newest first.

Belgrano (Córdoba) form

Belgrano (Córdoba) have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 16 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Talleres (Córdoba) won 0, Belgrano (Córdoba) won 1 and 2 games ended level. Last time out it finished Talleres (Córdoba) 0, Belgrano (Córdoba) 1.

Our call

We expect Talleres (Córdoba) to score about 1.0 goals and Belgrano (Córdoba) about 1.1. That points to Belgrano (Córdoba) to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.23. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 6.99.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Talleres Belgrano
Games played2020
Wins69
Draws66
Losses85
Goals scored2024
Goals conceded2216
Scored per game1.01.2
Conceded per game1.10.8
Home record3W 3D 4L6W 1D 4L
Away record3W 3D 4L3W 5D 1L
Clean sheets35%45%
Both teams scored40%40%
Over 2.5 goals45%35%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Talleres (Córdoba) to win31%3.182.50-21.3%
A Draw30%3.322.95-11.2%
Belgrano (Córdoba) to win33%3.022.95-2.5%
Over 2.5 goals35%2.842.35-17.3%
Under 2.5 goals61%1.651.50-9.3%
Talleres (Córdoba) -0.535%2.902.35-18.8%
Belgrano (Córdoba) +0.562%1.621.48-9.0%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals63%1.59
Over 2.5 goals35%2.86
Over 3.5 goals16%6.22
Both teams to score43%2.33
Talleres (Córdoba) or Draw65%1.54
Belgrano (Córdoba) or Draw67%1.50
Talleres (Córdoba) to win and Over 2.515%6.72
Belgrano (Córdoba) to win and Over 2.516%6.30
Talleres (Córdoba) clean sheet34%2.91
Belgrano (Córdoba) clean sheet36%2.80

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.3%
0-013.1%
0-112.3%
1-011.8%
1-27.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Talleres (Córdoba) vs Belgrano (Córdoba)?

Our prediction for Talleres (Córdoba) vs Belgrano (Córdoba) is Belgrano (Córdoba) to win, with a 35% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.23.

What is the score prediction for Talleres (Córdoba) vs Belgrano (Córdoba)?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-0 and 0-1. We expect Talleres (Córdoba) to score 1.0 goals and Belgrano (Córdoba) 1.1.

Will both teams score in Talleres (Córdoba) vs Belgrano (Córdoba)?

Both teams to score has a 43% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Talleres (Córdoba) last 20 games and 8 of Belgrano (Córdoba) last 20.

How are Talleres (Córdoba) playing?

Talleres (Córdoba) have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, D, D, newest first.

How are Belgrano (Córdoba) playing?

Belgrano (Córdoba) have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 16 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, D, L, newest first.

What happened when Talleres (Córdoba) and Belgrano (Córdoba) last met?

It ended Talleres (Córdoba) 0, Belgrano (Córdoba) 1. In the last 3 meetings Talleres (Córdoba) won 0 and Belgrano (Córdoba) won 1.

What is the best bet for Talleres (Córdoba) vs Belgrano (Córdoba)?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.23, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Talleres against Belgrano . A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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