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Predictions › Argentina › Talleres (Córdoba) vs Independiente
Argentina Liga ProfesionalMon 12 Oct, 00:30 Argentina time

Talleres (Córdoba) vs Independiente prediction

Mario Alberto Kempes

Talleres (Córdoba)Home
0.93 : 1.41
expected goals
IndependienteAway
24%Talleres
29%Draw
47%Independiente
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.29

Quick answer

Our prediction for Talleres (Córdoba) vs Independiente is Independiente to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29.

Prediction
Independiente to win
Chance
47%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Talleres (Córdoba) 0.9, Independiente 1.4
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.29
Both teams to score
47%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.292 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.471 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Talleres (Córdoba) 24%, the draw 29% and Independiente 47%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Talleres (Córdoba) took 5 points from their last 5 games and Independiente took 8 from 5. Independiente come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Talleres (Córdoba) won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Independiente won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Talleres (Córdoba) score 1.0 goals a game and let in 1.1. Independiente score 1.3 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Talleres (Córdoba) games and 9 of Independiente games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Talleres (Córdoba) won 1 and Independiente won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Independiente 1, Talleres (Córdoba) 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Talleres recent form-1%
  • Independienterecent form+1%
Talleres form L W L D DIndependiente form W D W L DHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Talleres (Córdoba) vs Independiente: Independiente are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Talleres (Córdoba) host Independiente in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Mon 12 Oct, 00:30 at Mario Alberto Kempes. Our prediction for Talleres (Córdoba) vs Independiente is Independiente to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29.

Talleres (Córdoba) form

Talleres (Córdoba) have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, D, D, newest first.

Independiente form

Independiente have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Talleres (Córdoba) won 1, Independiente won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Independiente 1, Talleres (Córdoba) 2.

Our call

We expect Talleres (Córdoba) to score about 0.9 goals and Independiente about 1.4. That points to Independiente to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.47.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Talleres Independiente
Games played2020
Wins69
Draws64
Losses87
Goals scored2026
Goals conceded2224
Scored per game1.01.3
Conceded per game1.11.2
Home record3W 3D 4L4W 3D 3L
Away record3W 3D 4L5W 1D 4L
Clean sheets35%30%
Both teams scored40%50%
Over 2.5 goals45%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals69%1.46
Over 2.5 goals42%2.41
Over 3.5 goals21%4.77
Both teams to score47%2.14
Talleres (Córdoba) or Draw53%1.90
Independiente or Draw76%1.32
Talleres (Córdoba) to win and Over 2.512%8.50
Independiente to win and Over 2.525%4.00
Talleres (Córdoba) clean sheet24%4.10
Independiente clean sheet39%2.54

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.4%
0-112.8%
0-010.4%
0-29.6%
1-28.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Talleres (Córdoba) vs Independiente?

Our prediction for Talleres (Córdoba) vs Independiente is Independiente to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29.

What is the score prediction for Talleres (Córdoba) vs Independiente?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-0. We expect Talleres (Córdoba) to score 0.9 goals and Independiente 1.4.

Will both teams score in Talleres (Córdoba) vs Independiente?

Both teams to score has a 47% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Talleres (Córdoba) last 20 games and 10 of Independiente last 20.

How are Talleres (Córdoba) playing?

Talleres (Córdoba) have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, D, D, newest first.

How are Independiente playing?

Independiente have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, D, newest first.

What happened when Talleres (Córdoba) and Independiente last met?

It ended Independiente 1, Talleres (Córdoba) 2. In the last 1 meeting Talleres (Córdoba) won 1 and Independiente won 0.

What is the best bet for Talleres (Córdoba) vs Independiente?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.29, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Talleres against Independiente. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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