Quick answer
Our prediction for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers is Carolina Panthers to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project Tampa Bay Buccaneers 21.7 and Carolina Panthers 23.9. Our best bet is Over 37.5 points at -289.
- Prediction
- Carolina Panthers to win
- Chance
- 54%
- Projected score
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers 22, Carolina Panthers 24
- Projected total
- 45.6 points
- Best bet
- Over 37.5 points at -289
Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.
The eagle's three picks
✓ Eagle safe pick
Over 37.5 points
74% chanceFair price -2891 unit
⚡ Eagle bold pick
Buccaneers to win
42% chancePrice +1361 unit
Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.
Why we think this
- 1
What our numbers sayThe model gives Carolina Panthers 54% and Tampa Bay Buccaneers 46%. The bookmakers agree and make Carolina Panthers the favourite at -162.
- 2
Recent formCarolina Panthers won 3 of their last 5 and Tampa Bay Buccaneers won 1 of their last 5. Carolina Panthers come in with the better run.
- 3
Home and awayCarolina Panthers won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Tampa Bay Buccaneers won 3 of their last 10 on the road.
- 4
ScoringCarolina Panthers score 21.4 points a game and let in 23.3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers score 19.3 and let in 22.1. Their recent games average 44.7 and 41.3 points in total, and the market line is 44.5.
- 5
Head to headIn the last 2 meetings, Carolina Panthers won 1 and Tampa Bay Buccaneers won 1. The last one ended Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16, Carolina Panthers 14.
- 6
The safest betOver 37.5 points has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.
Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.
What moved our number
Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.
Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.
Match previewTampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers: Carolina Panthers shade it
By the EagleEyeOdds desk
The big picture
Carolina Panthers host Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the NFL on Sun 25 Oct, 13:00 at Bank of America Stadium. Our prediction for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers is Carolina Panthers to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project Tampa Bay Buccaneers 21.7 and Carolina Panthers 23.9. Our best bet is Over 37.5 points at -289.
Carolina Panthers form
Carolina Panthers have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 428 points scored and 466 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers form
Tampa Bay Buccaneers have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 385 points scored and 441 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.
Head to head
These two have met 2 times in our records. Carolina Panthers won 1, Tampa Bay Buccaneers won 1. Last time out it finished Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16, Carolina Panthers 14.
Our call
We expect Tampa Bay Buccaneers to score about 21.7 points and Carolina Panthers about 23.9. That points to Carolina Panthers to win. Our safest bet is Over 37.5 points at -289. Our bold bet is Buccaneers to win at +136.
Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.
Team records
Last 20 games in all competitions.
Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.
Price check against DraftKings
Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.
Spread and total at every line
Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Panthers +3.5 wins if Panthers win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.
Questions people ask
Who will win Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers?
Our prediction for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers is Carolina Panthers to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project Tampa Bay Buccaneers 21.7 and Carolina Panthers 23.9. Our best bet is Over 37.5 points at -289.
What is the projected score for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers?
We project Tampa Bay Buccaneers 21.7 and Carolina Panthers 23.9, about 45.6 points in total.
How are Carolina Panthers playing?
Carolina Panthers have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 428 points scored and 466 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.
How are Tampa Bay Buccaneers playing?
Tampa Bay Buccaneers have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 385 points scored and 441 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.
What happened when Carolina Panthers and Tampa Bay Buccaneers last met?
It ended Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16, Carolina Panthers 14. In the last 2 meetings Carolina Panthers won 1 and Tampa Bay Buccaneers won 1.
What is the best bet for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers?
Over 37.5 points at -289, with a 74% chance.
Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.
Important, please read before you bet
- These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Panthers against Buccaneers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
- We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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- No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
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