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Predictions › United States › Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Detroit Lions
NFLSun 22 Nov, 13:00 United States time

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Detroit Lions prediction

Ford Field

Tampa Bay BuccaneersAway
22.0 : 25.0
projected points
Detroit LionsHome
44%Buccaneers
56%Lions
Eagle safe pickUnder 54.5 points
-272

Quick answer

Our prediction for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Detroit Lions is Detroit Lions to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Tampa Bay Buccaneers 22.0 and Detroit Lions 25.0. Our best bet is Under 54.5 points at -272.

Prediction
Detroit Lions to win
Chance
56%
Projected score
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 22, Detroit Lions 25
Projected total
47.0 points
Best bet
Under 54.5 points at -272

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 54.5 points
73% chanceFair price -2721 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Buccaneers to win
38% chancePrice +1501 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Detroit Lions 56% and Tampa Bay Buccaneers 44%. The bookmakers agree and make Detroit Lions the favourite at -180.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Detroit Lions won 4 of their last 5 and Tampa Bay Buccaneers won 3 of their last 5. Detroit Lions come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Detroit Lions won 7 of their last 9 games at home. Tampa Bay Buccaneers won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Detroit Lions score 26.0 points a game and let in 23.4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers score 20.1 and let in 21.6. Their recent games average 49.5 and 41.8 points in total, and the market line is 47.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Detroit Lions won 1 and Tampa Bay Buccaneers won 0. The last one ended Detroit Lions 24, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 9.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 54.5 points has a 73% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Detroit Lions: Detroit Lions shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Detroit Lions host Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the NFL on Sun 22 Nov, 13:00 at Ford Field. Our prediction for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Detroit Lions is Detroit Lions to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Tampa Bay Buccaneers 22.0 and Detroit Lions 25.0. Our best bet is Under 54.5 points at -272.

Detroit Lions form

Detroit Lions have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 520 points scored and 469 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers form

Tampa Bay Buccaneers have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 402 points scored and 433 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Detroit Lions won 1, Tampa Bay Buccaneers won 0. Last time out it finished Detroit Lions 24, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 9.

Our call

We expect Tampa Bay Buccaneers to score about 22.0 points and Detroit Lions about 25.0. That points to Detroit Lions to win. Our safest bet is Under 54.5 points at -272. Our bold bet is Buccaneers to win at +150.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

LionsBuccaneers
Games played2020
Wins127
Losses813
Points scored520402
Points conceded469433
Scored per game26.020.1
Conceded per game23.421.6
Home record7W 2L4W 6L
Away record5W 6L3W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Lions to win56%-126-180-13.1%
Buccaneers to win38%+163+150-4.9%
Lions -3.545%+120-105-11.2%
Buccaneers +3.548%+110-115-10.8%
Over 47.5 points46%+120-110-13.1%
Under 47.5 points48%+110-110-8.9%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Lions spreadCoversFair
Lions -10.529%+246
Lions -6.540%+151
Lions -3.549%+106
Lions -0.557%-134
Lions +3.568%-217
Total pointsOverUnder
40.569%31%
44.558%42%
47.549%51%
50.539%61%
54.528%72%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Lions +3.5 wins if Lions win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
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Steelers Legend Dick Hoak Dies at Age 86

Dick Hoak spent more than 45 years with the Pittsburgh Steelers as a player and coach. He won five Super Bowl rings and died at age 86.

13 hours ago
NFL

NFC North Makes History With Unstoppable First Half Record

The NFC North is off to a historic 25-8 start this season, dominating opponents both inside and outside the division.

9 Nov 2026
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Bucs Beat Falcons 16-0 Without Single Completed Pass

Tampa Bay relied on a record rushing performance to defeat Atlanta 16-0 despite zero passing completions.

1 Nov 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Detroit Lions?

Our prediction for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Detroit Lions is Detroit Lions to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Tampa Bay Buccaneers 22.0 and Detroit Lions 25.0. Our best bet is Under 54.5 points at -272.

What is the projected score for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Detroit Lions?

We project Tampa Bay Buccaneers 22.0 and Detroit Lions 25.0, about 47.0 points in total.

How are Detroit Lions playing?

Detroit Lions have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 520 points scored and 469 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Tampa Bay Buccaneers playing?

Tampa Bay Buccaneers have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 402 points scored and 433 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Detroit Lions and Tampa Bay Buccaneers last met?

It ended Detroit Lions 24, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 9. In the last 1 meeting Detroit Lions won 1 and Tampa Bay Buccaneers won 0.

What is the best bet for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Detroit Lions?

Under 54.5 points at -272, with a 73% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Lions against Buccaneers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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