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Predictions › United States › Tampa Bay Lightning vs Minnesota Wild
NHLSat 7 Nov, 20:00 United States time

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Minnesota Wild prediction

Grand Casino Arena

Tampa Bay LightningAway
3.0 : 3.1
projected goals
Minnesota WildHome
52%Lightning
48%Wild
Eagle safe pickUnder 8 goals
-493

Quick answer

Our prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Minnesota Wild is Tampa Bay Lightning to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Tampa Bay Lightning 3.0 and Minnesota Wild 3.1. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -493.

Prediction
Tampa Bay Lightning to win
Chance
52%
Projected score
Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Minnesota Wild 3
Projected total
6.1 goals
Best bet
Under 8 goals at -493

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 8 goals
83% chanceFair price -4932 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Minnesota Wild 48% and Tampa Bay Lightning 52%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Minnesota Wild won 3 of their last 5 and Tampa Bay Lightning won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Minnesota Wild won 5 of their last 7 games at home. Tampa Bay Lightning won 5 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Minnesota Wild score 2.8 goals a game and let in 2.5. Tampa Bay Lightning score 2.9 and let in 2.8. Their recent games average 5.3 and 5.6 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Minnesota Wild won 1 and Tampa Bay Lightning won 2. The last one ended Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Minnesota Wild 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 8 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Wildrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Minnesota Wild: Tampa Bay Lightning shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Minnesota Wild host Tampa Bay Lightning in the NHL on Sat 7 Nov, 20:00 at Grand Casino Arena. Our prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Minnesota Wild is Tampa Bay Lightning to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Tampa Bay Lightning 3.0 and Minnesota Wild 3.1. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -493.

Minnesota Wild form

Minnesota Wild have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 56 goals scored and 50 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 2 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Tampa Bay Lightning form

Tampa Bay Lightning have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 57 goals scored and 55 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Minnesota Wild won 1, Tampa Bay Lightning won 2. Last time out it finished Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Minnesota Wild 2.

Our call

We expect Tampa Bay Lightning to score about 3.0 goals and Minnesota Wild about 3.1. That points to Tampa Bay Lightning to win. Our safest bet is Under 8 goals at -493.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

WildLightning
Games played2020
Wins1011
Losses109
Goals scored5657
Goals conceded5055
Scored per game2.82.9
Conceded per game2.52.8
Home record5W 2L6W 3L
Away record5W 8L5W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Wild spreadCoversFair
Wild -1.528%+256
Wild -0.543%+130
Wild +0.560%-150
Total goalsOverUnder
5.560%40%
6.543%57%
7.527%73%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Wild +3.5 wins if Wild win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NHL

Quinn Hughes Hears Boos in Return to Vancouver With Wild

Quinn Hughes faced boos from Vancouver fans as he returned to Rogers Arena for the first time since his trade to Minnesota.

26 Oct 2026
NHL

Nikita Kucherov Takes Top Spot on Lightning All Time Scoring List

Nikita Kucherov surpassed Steven Stamkos to become Tampa Bay's all time scoring leader on Saturday night against Utah.

25 Oct 2026
NHL

Quinn Hughes Stays Calm Over Contract Talks at Minnesota Camp

Quinn Hughes is in no rush to sign an extension with Minnesota as training camp begins.

18 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Tampa Bay Lightning vs Minnesota Wild?

Our prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Minnesota Wild is Tampa Bay Lightning to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Tampa Bay Lightning 3.0 and Minnesota Wild 3.1. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -493.

What is the projected score for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Minnesota Wild?

We project Tampa Bay Lightning 3.0 and Minnesota Wild 3.1, about 6.1 goals in total.

How are Minnesota Wild playing?

Minnesota Wild have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 56 goals scored and 50 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 2 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Tampa Bay Lightning playing?

Tampa Bay Lightning have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 57 goals scored and 55 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Minnesota Wild and Tampa Bay Lightning last met?

It ended Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Minnesota Wild 2. In the last 3 meetings Minnesota Wild won 1 and Tampa Bay Lightning won 2.

What is the best bet for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Minnesota Wild?

Under 8 goals at -493, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Wild against Lightning. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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