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Predictions › United States › Tampa Bay Lightning vs Nashville Predators
NHLTue 22 Sept, 20:00 United States time

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Nashville Predators prediction

Bridgestone Arena

Tampa Bay LightningAway
3.5 : 2.9
projected goals
Nashville PredatorsHome
64%Lightning
36%Predators
Eagle safe pickUnder 8 goals
-418

Quick answer

Our prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Nashville Predators is Tampa Bay Lightning to win, with a 64% chance. We project Tampa Bay Lightning 3.5 and Nashville Predators 2.9. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -418.

Prediction
Tampa Bay Lightning to win
Chance
64%
Projected score
Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Nashville Predators 3
Projected total
6.4 goals
Best bet
Under 8 goals at -418

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 8 goals
81% chanceFair price -4182 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Predators to win
36% chanceFair price +1781 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Nashville Predators 36% and Tampa Bay Lightning 64%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Nashville Predators won 2 of their last 5 and Tampa Bay Lightning won 2 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Nashville Predators won 4 of their last 8 games at home. Tampa Bay Lightning won 3 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Nashville Predators score 3.1 goals a game and let in 2.8. Tampa Bay Lightning score 2.7 and let in 2.8. Their recent games average 5.9 and 5.5 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Nashville Predators won 0 and Tampa Bay Lightning won 4. The last one ended Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Nashville Predators 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 8 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Predatorsrest between games-3%
  • Lightningrest between games-3%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Nashville Predators: Tampa Bay Lightning are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Nashville Predators host Tampa Bay Lightning in the NHL on Tue 22 Sept, 20:00 at Bridgestone Arena. Our prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Nashville Predators is Tampa Bay Lightning to win, with a 64% chance. We project Tampa Bay Lightning 3.5 and Nashville Predators 2.9. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -418.

Nashville Predators form

Nashville Predators have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 62 goals scored and 56 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Tampa Bay Lightning form

Tampa Bay Lightning have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 54 goals scored and 55 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 4 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Nashville Predators won 0, Tampa Bay Lightning won 4. Last time out it finished Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Nashville Predators 2.

Our call

We expect Tampa Bay Lightning to score about 3.5 goals and Nashville Predators about 2.9. That points to Tampa Bay Lightning to win. Our safest bet is Under 8 goals at -418. Our bold bet is Predators to win at +178.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PredatorsLightning
Games played2020
Wins1010
Losses1010
Goals scored6254
Goals conceded5655
Scored per game3.12.7
Conceded per game2.82.8
Home record4W 4L7W 6L
Away record6W 6L3W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Predators spreadCoversFair
Predators -0.532%+209
Predators +0.548%+107
Predators +1.565%-183
Total goalsOverUnder
5.565%35%
6.548%52%
7.531%69%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Predators +3.5 wins if Predators win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Tampa Bay Lightning vs Nashville Predators?

Our prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Nashville Predators is Tampa Bay Lightning to win, with a 64% chance. We project Tampa Bay Lightning 3.5 and Nashville Predators 2.9. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -418.

What is the projected score for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Nashville Predators?

We project Tampa Bay Lightning 3.5 and Nashville Predators 2.9, about 6.4 goals in total.

How are Nashville Predators playing?

Nashville Predators have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 62 goals scored and 56 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Tampa Bay Lightning playing?

Tampa Bay Lightning have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 54 goals scored and 55 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 4 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Nashville Predators and Tampa Bay Lightning last met?

It ended Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Nashville Predators 2. In the last 4 meetings Nashville Predators won 0 and Tampa Bay Lightning won 4.

What is the best bet for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Nashville Predators?

Under 8 goals at -418, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Predators against Lightning. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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