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Predictions › United States › Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Rangers
NHLTue 13 Oct, 19:15 United States time

Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Rangers prediction

Madison Square Garden

Tampa Bay LightningAway
3.3 : 2.7
projected goals
New York RangersHome
63%Lightning
37%Rangers
Eagle safe pickOver 4 goals
-441

Quick answer

Our prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Rangers is Tampa Bay Lightning to win, with a 63% chance. We project Tampa Bay Lightning 3.3 and New York Rangers 2.7. Our best bet is Over 4 goals at -441.

Prediction
Tampa Bay Lightning to win
Chance
63%
Projected score
Tampa Bay Lightning 3, New York Rangers 3
Projected total
6.0 goals
Best bet
Over 4 goals at -441

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 4 goals
81% chanceFair price -4412 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Rangers to win
37% chanceFair price +1671 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives New York Rangers 37% and Tampa Bay Lightning 63%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    New York Rangers won 4 of their last 5 and Tampa Bay Lightning won 2 of their last 5. New York Rangers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    New York Rangers won 7 of their last 12 games at home. Tampa Bay Lightning won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    New York Rangers score 3.2 goals a game and let in 2.2. Tampa Bay Lightning score 2.3 and let in 2.7. Their recent games average 5.4 and 5.0 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, New York Rangers won 3 and Tampa Bay Lightning won 1. The last one ended New York Rangers 5, Tampa Bay Lightning 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 4 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Rangersrest between games-5%
  • Lightningrest between games-5%
  • Rangersteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Rangers: Tampa Bay Lightning are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

New York Rangers host Tampa Bay Lightning in the NHL on Tue 13 Oct, 19:15 at Madison Square Garden. Our prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Rangers is Tampa Bay Lightning to win, with a 63% chance. We project Tampa Bay Lightning 3.3 and New York Rangers 2.7. Our best bet is Over 4 goals at -441.

New York Rangers form

New York Rangers have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 64 goals scored and 44 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Tampa Bay Lightning form

Tampa Bay Lightning have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 45 goals scored and 54 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. New York Rangers won 3, Tampa Bay Lightning won 1. Last time out it finished New York Rangers 5, Tampa Bay Lightning 1.

Our call

We expect Tampa Bay Lightning to score about 3.3 goals and New York Rangers about 2.7. That points to Tampa Bay Lightning to win. Our safest bet is Over 4 goals at -441. Our bold bet is Rangers to win at +167.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

RangersLightning
Games played2020
Wins109
Losses1011
Goals scored6445
Goals conceded4454
Scored per game3.22.3
Conceded per game2.22.7
Home record7W 5L5W 5L
Away record3W 5L4W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Rangers spreadCoversFair
Rangers -0.533%+202
Rangers +0.549%+103
Rangers +1.565%-189
Total goalsOverUnder
4.574%26%
5.558%42%
6.541%59%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Rangers +3.5 wins if Rangers win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NHL

New York Rangers Lose Backup Goalie Joonas Korpisalo to Injury

New York Rangers backup goalie Joonas Korpisalo is week to week with a lower body injury, forcing the team to recall Dylan Garand from the AHL.

1 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Rangers?

Our prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Rangers is Tampa Bay Lightning to win, with a 63% chance. We project Tampa Bay Lightning 3.3 and New York Rangers 2.7. Our best bet is Over 4 goals at -441.

What is the projected score for Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Rangers?

We project Tampa Bay Lightning 3.3 and New York Rangers 2.7, about 6.0 goals in total.

How are New York Rangers playing?

New York Rangers have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 64 goals scored and 44 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Tampa Bay Lightning playing?

Tampa Bay Lightning have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 45 goals scored and 54 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when New York Rangers and Tampa Bay Lightning last met?

It ended New York Rangers 5, Tampa Bay Lightning 1. In the last 4 meetings New York Rangers won 3 and Tampa Bay Lightning won 1.

What is the best bet for Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Rangers?

Over 4 goals at -441, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Rangers against Lightning. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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