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Predictions › United States › Tampa Bay Lightning vs Utah Mammoth
NHLSat 24 Oct, 21:00 United States time

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Utah Mammoth prediction

Delta Center

Tampa Bay LightningAway
3.2 : 3.1
projected goals
Utah MammothHome
53%Lightning
47%Mammoth
Eagle safe pickMammoth +2
-420

Quick answer

Our prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Utah Mammoth is Tampa Bay Lightning to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Tampa Bay Lightning 3.2 and Utah Mammoth 3.1. Our best bet is Mammoth +2 at -420.

Prediction
Tampa Bay Lightning to win
Chance
53%
Projected score
Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Utah Mammoth 3
Projected total
6.3 goals
Best bet
Mammoth +2 at -420

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Mammoth +2
81% chanceFair price -4202 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Utah Mammoth 47% and Tampa Bay Lightning 53%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Utah Mammoth won 3 of their last 5 and Tampa Bay Lightning won 4 of their last 5. Tampa Bay Lightning come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Utah Mammoth won 5 of their last 8 games at home. Tampa Bay Lightning won 5 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Utah Mammoth score 3.4 goals a game and let in 3.3. Tampa Bay Lightning score 2.5 and let in 2.5. Their recent games average 6.7 and 5.0 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Utah Mammoth won 0 and Tampa Bay Lightning won 2. The last one ended Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Utah Mammoth 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Mammoth +2 has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Mammothrest between games-5%
  • Lightningrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Utah Mammoth: Tampa Bay Lightning shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Utah Mammoth host Tampa Bay Lightning in the NHL on Sat 24 Oct, 21:00 at Delta Center. Our prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Utah Mammoth is Tampa Bay Lightning to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Tampa Bay Lightning 3.2 and Utah Mammoth 3.1. Our best bet is Mammoth +2 at -420.

Utah Mammoth form

Utah Mammoth have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 67 goals scored and 66 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Tampa Bay Lightning form

Tampa Bay Lightning have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 50 goals scored and 51 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Utah Mammoth won 0, Tampa Bay Lightning won 2. Last time out it finished Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Utah Mammoth 0.

Our call

We expect Tampa Bay Lightning to score about 3.2 goals and Utah Mammoth about 3.1. That points to Tampa Bay Lightning to win. Our safest bet is Mammoth +2 at -420.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MammothLightning
Games played2020
Wins1011
Losses109
Goals scored6750
Goals conceded6651
Scored per game3.42.5
Conceded per game3.32.5
Home record5W 3L6W 5L
Away record5W 7L5W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Mammoth spreadCoversFair
Mammoth -0.541%+145
Mammoth +0.557%-134
Mammoth +1.573%-265
Total goalsOverUnder
5.564%36%
6.547%53%
7.531%69%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Mammoth +3.5 wins if Mammoth win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Tampa Bay Lightning vs Utah Mammoth?

Our prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Utah Mammoth is Tampa Bay Lightning to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Tampa Bay Lightning 3.2 and Utah Mammoth 3.1. Our best bet is Mammoth +2 at -420.

What is the projected score for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Utah Mammoth?

We project Tampa Bay Lightning 3.2 and Utah Mammoth 3.1, about 6.3 goals in total.

How are Utah Mammoth playing?

Utah Mammoth have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 67 goals scored and 66 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Tampa Bay Lightning playing?

Tampa Bay Lightning have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 50 goals scored and 51 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Utah Mammoth and Tampa Bay Lightning last met?

It ended Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Utah Mammoth 0. In the last 2 meetings Utah Mammoth won 0 and Tampa Bay Lightning won 2.

What is the best bet for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Utah Mammoth?

Mammoth +2 at -420, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Mammoth against Lightning. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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