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Predictions › United States › Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees
MLBTue 22 Sept, 19:05 United States time

Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees prediction

Yankee Stadium

Tampa Bay RaysAway
3.8 : 4.5
projected runs
New York YankeesHome
42%Rays
58%Yankees
Eagle safe pickYankees +1.5
-239

Quick answer

Our prediction for Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees is New York Yankees to win, with a 58% chance, but it is a close call. We project Tampa Bay Rays 3.8 and New York Yankees 4.5. Our best bet is Yankees +1.5 at -239.

Prediction
New York Yankees to win
Chance
58%
Projected score
Tampa Bay Rays 4, New York Yankees 4
Projected total
8.3 runs
Best bet
Yankees +1.5 at -239

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Yankees +1.5
70% chanceFair price -2391 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Rays to win
41% chanceFair price +1461 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives New York Yankees 58% and Tampa Bay Rays 42%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    New York Yankees won 4 of their last 5 and Tampa Bay Rays won 4 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    New York Yankees won 9 of their last 14 games at home. Tampa Bay Rays won 7 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    New York Yankees score 5.3 runs a game and let in 4.0. Tampa Bay Rays score 4.3 and let in 3.5. Their recent games average 9.3 and 7.8 runs in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, New York Yankees won 3 and Tampa Bay Rays won 2. The last one ended Tampa Bay Rays 4, New York Yankees 12.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Yankees +1.5 has a 70% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Yankeesrest between games-5%
  • Raysrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees: New York Yankees shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

New York Yankees host Tampa Bay Rays in the MLB on Tue 22 Sept, 19:05 at Yankee Stadium. Our prediction for Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees is New York Yankees to win, with a 58% chance, but it is a close call. We project Tampa Bay Rays 3.8 and New York Yankees 4.5. Our best bet is Yankees +1.5 at -239.

New York Yankees form

New York Yankees have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 107 runs scored and 80 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 5 losses from 14. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Tampa Bay Rays form

Tampa Bay Rays have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 86 runs scored and 70 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. New York Yankees won 3, Tampa Bay Rays won 2. Last time out it finished Tampa Bay Rays 4, New York Yankees 12.

Our call

We expect Tampa Bay Rays to score about 3.8 runs and New York Yankees about 4.5. That points to New York Yankees to win. Our safest bet is Yankees +1.5 at -239. Our bold bet is Rays to win at +146.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

YankeesRays
Games played2020
Wins1213
Losses87
Runs scored10786
Runs conceded8070
Scored per game5.34.3
Conceded per game4.03.5
Home record9W 5L6W 2L
Away record3W 3L7W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Yankees spreadCoversFair
Yankees -2.533%+202
Yankees -1.542%+137
Yankees -0.552%-106
Yankees +0.561%-156
Yankees +1.570%-230
Total runsOverUnder
6.566%34%
7.557%43%
8.548%52%
9.539%61%
10.531%69%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Yankees +3.5 wins if Yankees win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
MLB

Gerrit Cole Struggles as Yankees Fall to Mets

Gerrit Cole struggled on Saturday, giving up five runs in a 12-2 loss to the Mets, leaving the Yankees pitcher searching for answers.

9 hours ago
MLB

Rays Secure First Playoff Berth After Junior Caminero Walk-Off Homer

Junior Caminero hit a game-ending two-run home run to beat the Houston Astros 3-1 and make the Tampa Bay Rays the first team to clinch a playoff spot.

12 Sept 2026
MLB

Derek Jeter and Yankees Honor 9/11 Families in Emotional Ceremony

Derek Jeter reunited with Brielle Saracini at Yankee Stadium as the Yankees paid tribute to 9/11 victims before their series against the Mets.

12 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees?

Our prediction for Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees is New York Yankees to win, with a 58% chance, but it is a close call. We project Tampa Bay Rays 3.8 and New York Yankees 4.5. Our best bet is Yankees +1.5 at -239.

What is the projected score for Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees?

We project Tampa Bay Rays 3.8 and New York Yankees 4.5, about 8.3 runs in total.

How are New York Yankees playing?

New York Yankees have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 107 runs scored and 80 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 5 losses from 14. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Tampa Bay Rays playing?

Tampa Bay Rays have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 86 runs scored and 70 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays last met?

It ended Tampa Bay Rays 4, New York Yankees 12. In the last 5 meetings New York Yankees won 3 and Tampa Bay Rays won 2.

What is the best bet for Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees?

Yankees +1.5 at -239, with a 70% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Yankees against Rays. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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