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Predictions › United States › Atlanta Dream vs New York Liberty
WNBASun 11 Oct, 00:00 United States time

Atlanta Dream vs New York Liberty prediction

Barclays Center

Atlanta DreamAway
85.4 : 80.7
projected points
New York LibertyHome
68%Dream
32%Liberty
Eagle safe pickDream +2.5
-299

Quick answer

Our prediction for Atlanta Dream vs New York Liberty is Atlanta Dream to win, with a 68% chance. We project Atlanta Dream 85.4 and New York Liberty 80.7. Our best bet is Dream +2.5 at -299.

Prediction
Atlanta Dream to win
Chance
68%
Projected score
Atlanta Dream 85, New York Liberty 81
Projected total
166.1 points
Best bet
Dream +2.5 at -299

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Dream +2.5
75% chanceFair price -2991 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Liberty to win
32% chanceFair price +2141 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives New York Liberty 32% and Atlanta Dream 68%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    New York Liberty won 3 of their last 5 and Atlanta Dream won 5 of their last 5. Atlanta Dream come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    New York Liberty won 8 of their last 11 games at home. Atlanta Dream won 9 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    New York Liberty score 91.2 points a game and let in 85.8. Atlanta Dream score 94.0 and let in 82.6. Their recent games average 176.9 and 176.7 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, New York Liberty won 1 and Atlanta Dream won 2. The last one ended New York Liberty 65, Atlanta Dream 83.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Dream +2.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Libertyrest between games-5%
  • Dreamrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Atlanta Dream vs New York Liberty: Atlanta Dream are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

New York Liberty host Atlanta Dream in the WNBA on Sun 11 Oct, 00:00 at Barclays Center. Our prediction for Atlanta Dream vs New York Liberty is Atlanta Dream to win, with a 68% chance. We project Atlanta Dream 85.4 and New York Liberty 80.7. Our best bet is Dream +2.5 at -299.

New York Liberty form

New York Liberty have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 1824 points scored and 1715 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Atlanta Dream form

Atlanta Dream have 16 wins and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 1881 points scored and 1652 conceded. Away from home they have 9 wins and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. New York Liberty won 1, Atlanta Dream won 2. Last time out it finished New York Liberty 65, Atlanta Dream 83.

Our call

We expect Atlanta Dream to score about 85.4 points and New York Liberty about 80.7. That points to Atlanta Dream to win. Our safest bet is Dream +2.5 at -299. Our bold bet is Liberty to win at +214.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

LibertyDream
Games played2020
Wins1416
Losses64
Points scored18241881
Points conceded17151652
Scored per game91.294.0
Conceded per game85.882.6
Home record8W 3L7W 3L
Away record6W 3L9W 1L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Liberty spreadCoversFair
Liberty -1.529%+247
Liberty +1.539%+158
Liberty +4.549%+102
Liberty +7.560%-151
Liberty +10.570%-236
Total pointsOverUnder
160.565%35%
163.557%43%
166.549%51%
169.541%59%
172.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Liberty +3.5 wins if Liberty win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
WNBA

WNBA Playoffs: Mystics and Wings Face Elimination on Home Court

Washington and Dallas look to rebound at home after tough Game 1 losses in the WNBA playoffs.

20 hours ago
WNBA

Historic Upset: No. 8 Liberty Sweep Top Seeded Lynx

The New York Liberty made history by sweeping the top seeded Minnesota Lynx to advance to the WNBA semifinals.

30 Sept 2026
WNBA

DeWanna Bonner Powers Atlanta Dream Past Mystics in Playoff Opener

DeWanna Bonner sparked a third-quarter run to lift the Atlanta Dream to a 92-77 win over the Washington Mystics in Game 1.

28 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Atlanta Dream vs New York Liberty?

Our prediction for Atlanta Dream vs New York Liberty is Atlanta Dream to win, with a 68% chance. We project Atlanta Dream 85.4 and New York Liberty 80.7. Our best bet is Dream +2.5 at -299.

What is the projected score for Atlanta Dream vs New York Liberty?

We project Atlanta Dream 85.4 and New York Liberty 80.7, about 166.1 points in total.

How are New York Liberty playing?

New York Liberty have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 1824 points scored and 1715 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Atlanta Dream playing?

Atlanta Dream have 16 wins and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 1881 points scored and 1652 conceded. Away from home they have 9 wins and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when New York Liberty and Atlanta Dream last met?

It ended New York Liberty 65, Atlanta Dream 83. In the last 3 meetings New York Liberty won 1 and Atlanta Dream won 2.

What is the best bet for Atlanta Dream vs New York Liberty?

Dream +2.5 at -299, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Liberty against Dream. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
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