Predictions › United States › Golden State Valkyries vs Atlanta Dream
WNBAThu 22 Oct, 20:00 United States time

Golden State Valkyries vs Atlanta Dream prediction

Golden State ValkyriesAway
83.5 : 83.2
projected points
Atlanta DreamHome
53%Valkyries
47%Dream
Eagle safe pickDream +7.5
-297

Quick answer

Our prediction for Golden State Valkyries vs Atlanta Dream is Golden State Valkyries to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Golden State Valkyries 83.5 and Atlanta Dream 83.2. Our best bet is Dream +7.5 at -297.

Prediction
Golden State Valkyries to win
Chance
53%
Projected score
Golden State Valkyries 84, Atlanta Dream 83
Projected total
166.8 points
Best bet
Dream +7.5 at -297

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Dream +7.5
75% chanceFair price -2971 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Atlanta Dream 47% and Golden State Valkyries 53%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Atlanta Dream won 5 of their last 5 and Golden State Valkyries won 4 of their last 5. Atlanta Dream come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Atlanta Dream won 8 of their last 10 games at home. Golden State Valkyries won 8 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Atlanta Dream score 94.6 points a game and let in 81.8. Golden State Valkyries score 82.5 and let in 73.5. Their recent games average 176.4 and 156.0 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Atlanta Dream won 0 and Golden State Valkyries won 3. The last one ended Atlanta Dream 83, Golden State Valkyries 88.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Dream +7.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Golden State Valkyries vs Atlanta Dream: Golden State Valkyries shade it

The big picture

Atlanta Dream host Golden State Valkyries in the WNBA on Thu 22 Oct, 20:00. Our prediction for Golden State Valkyries vs Atlanta Dream is Golden State Valkyries to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Golden State Valkyries 83.5 and Atlanta Dream 83.2. Our best bet is Dream +7.5 at -297.

Atlanta Dream form

Atlanta Dream have 17 wins and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 1892 points scored and 1636 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Golden State Valkyries form

Golden State Valkyries have 16 wins and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 1649 points scored and 1471 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Atlanta Dream won 0, Golden State Valkyries won 3. Last time out it finished Atlanta Dream 83, Golden State Valkyries 88.

Our call

We expect Golden State Valkyries to score about 83.5 points and Atlanta Dream about 83.2. That points to Golden State Valkyries to win. Our safest bet is Dream +7.5 at -297.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

DreamValkyries
Games played2020
Wins1716
Losses34
Points scored18921649
Points conceded16361471
Scored per game94.682.5
Conceded per game81.873.5
Home record8W 2L8W 1L
Away record9W 1L8W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Dream spreadCoversFair
Dream -5.530%+234
Dream -2.540%+150
Dream +0.551%-103
Dream +3.562%-160
Dream +6.571%-250
Total pointsOverUnder
160.566%34%
163.559%41%
166.551%49%
169.543%57%
172.535%65%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Dream +3.5 wins if Dream win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Golden State Valkyries vs Atlanta Dream?

Our prediction for Golden State Valkyries vs Atlanta Dream is Golden State Valkyries to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Golden State Valkyries 83.5 and Atlanta Dream 83.2. Our best bet is Dream +7.5 at -297.

What is the projected score for Golden State Valkyries vs Atlanta Dream?

We project Golden State Valkyries 83.5 and Atlanta Dream 83.2, about 166.8 points in total.

How are Atlanta Dream playing?

Atlanta Dream have 17 wins and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 1892 points scored and 1636 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Golden State Valkyries playing?

Golden State Valkyries have 16 wins and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 1649 points scored and 1471 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Atlanta Dream and Golden State Valkyries last met?

It ended Atlanta Dream 83, Golden State Valkyries 88. In the last 3 meetings Atlanta Dream won 0 and Golden State Valkyries won 3.

What is the best bet for Golden State Valkyries vs Atlanta Dream?

Dream +7.5 at -297, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Dream against Valkyries. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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