Predictions › United States › Atlanta Dream vs Golden State Valkyries
WNBASat 31 Oct, 20:00 United States time

Atlanta Dream vs Golden State Valkyries prediction

Chase Center

Atlanta DreamAway
77.0 : 75.7
projected points
Golden State ValkyriesHome
55%Dream
45%Valkyries
Eagle safe pickValkyries +8.5
-305

Quick answer

Our prediction for Atlanta Dream vs Golden State Valkyries is Atlanta Dream to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Atlanta Dream 77.0 and Golden State Valkyries 75.7. Our best bet is Valkyries +8.5 at -305.

Prediction
Atlanta Dream to win
Chance
55%
Projected score
Atlanta Dream 77, Golden State Valkyries 76
Projected total
152.7 points
Best bet
Valkyries +8.5 at -305

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Valkyries +8.5
75% chanceFair price -3052 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Valkyries to win
45% chanceFair price +1231 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Golden State Valkyries 45% and Atlanta Dream 55%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Golden State Valkyries won 4 of their last 5 and Atlanta Dream won 4 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Golden State Valkyries won 9 of their last 11 games at home. Atlanta Dream won 10 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Golden State Valkyries score 80.2 points a game and let in 73.0. Atlanta Dream score 93.3 and let in 80.4. Their recent games average 153.2 and 173.7 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Golden State Valkyries won 4 and Atlanta Dream won 1. The last one ended Golden State Valkyries 65, Atlanta Dream 79.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Valkyries +8.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Valkyriesrest between games-2%
  • Dreamrest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Atlanta Dream vs Golden State Valkyries: Atlanta Dream shade it

The big picture

Golden State Valkyries host Atlanta Dream in the WNBA on Sat 31 Oct, 20:00 at Chase Center. Our prediction for Atlanta Dream vs Golden State Valkyries is Atlanta Dream to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Atlanta Dream 77.0 and Golden State Valkyries 75.7. Our best bet is Valkyries +8.5 at -305.

Golden State Valkyries form

Golden State Valkyries have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 1604 points scored and 1460 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Atlanta Dream form

Atlanta Dream have 17 wins and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 1865 points scored and 1608 conceded. Away from home they have 10 wins and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Golden State Valkyries won 4, Atlanta Dream won 1. Last time out it finished Golden State Valkyries 65, Atlanta Dream 79.

Our call

We expect Atlanta Dream to score about 77.0 points and Golden State Valkyries about 75.7. That points to Atlanta Dream to win. Our safest bet is Valkyries +8.5 at -305. Our bold bet is Valkyries to win at +123.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ValkyriesDream
Games played2020
Wins1517
Losses53
Points scored16041865
Points conceded14601608
Scored per game80.293.3
Conceded per game73.080.4
Home record9W 2L7W 2L
Away record6W 3L10W 1L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Valkyries spreadCoversFair
Valkyries -4.530%+233
Valkyries -1.540%+149
Valkyries +1.551%-104
Valkyries +4.562%-161
Valkyries +7.572%-251
Total pointsOverUnder
146.566%34%
149.558%42%
152.550%50%
155.543%57%
158.535%65%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Valkyries +3.5 wins if Valkyries win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Atlanta Dream vs Golden State Valkyries?

Our prediction for Atlanta Dream vs Golden State Valkyries is Atlanta Dream to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Atlanta Dream 77.0 and Golden State Valkyries 75.7. Our best bet is Valkyries +8.5 at -305.

What is the projected score for Atlanta Dream vs Golden State Valkyries?

We project Atlanta Dream 77.0 and Golden State Valkyries 75.7, about 152.7 points in total.

How are Golden State Valkyries playing?

Golden State Valkyries have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 1604 points scored and 1460 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Atlanta Dream playing?

Atlanta Dream have 17 wins and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 1865 points scored and 1608 conceded. Away from home they have 10 wins and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Golden State Valkyries and Atlanta Dream last met?

It ended Golden State Valkyries 65, Atlanta Dream 79. In the last 5 meetings Golden State Valkyries won 4 and Atlanta Dream won 1.

What is the best bet for Atlanta Dream vs Golden State Valkyries?

Valkyries +8.5 at -305, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Valkyries against Dream. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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